主持人
- Not only can I see it, I find it to be the most probable outcome at this point. It is simply too well-suited for the moment. And again, as we talked about, it's a great irony that all the flaws of Linux, the arcane config files, all the strange error messages and so on should just so happen to be the perfect thing for an agentic operating system. But so it is, and we should rejoice that fate has this irony, and just laugh at it.
我不仅能看见,而且此刻我认为这是最可能的结果。它简直太适合这个时刻了。而且正如我们谈过的,很大的讽刺在于:Linux 的所有缺陷,那些晦涩的配置文件、那些奇怪的报错信息等等,偏偏成了 agentic 操作系统的完美素材。但事实就是如此,我们应该为命运的这种讽刺而高兴,然后对着它笑。
How... It's so funny to me that all the advantages that Apple had for the longest time- ... that they produced this really locked down, curated experience should become their greatest drawback now. If you're into agents and development and working with all this stuff,the Mac is just a hostile place to be. It just has walls all over the place. And Linux is simply open through and through. And it's also interesting because that was not obvious either.
这对我来说太好笑了:Apple 长期以来的所有优势——他们做出的那种高度锁定、精心策展的体验——现在反而成了最大的短板。如果你热衷 agents、开发,以及跟这些东西打交道,Mac 就是一个充满敌意的地方。到处都是墙。而 Linux 从头到尾就是开放的。这也很有意思,因为这一点当初也并不显然。
If you look at the way a lot of the Linux communities, open source communities, have reacted to AI, it is not universal love. I would argue that the majority of them are actually, if not skeptical, then outright hostile- ... to AI. Now, the saving grace is that the BDFL himself, Linus- ... Torvalds, just wrote a few weeks ago that he actually welcomes AI. - That's right. - He wants to steer it.
如果你看很多 Linux 社区、开源社区对 AI 的反应,那绝不是普遍热爱。我会说,他们中的大多数如果不是怀疑,就是直接敌视——敌视 AI。好在救命的一点是,BDFL 本人,Linus Torvalds,几周前刚写过:他其实欢迎 AI。没错。他想引导它,想确保它是好的,诸如此类。
He wants to make sure it's good and whatever, but I- the line was something if you think, uh, Linux is an anti-AI project, think again, and you should just do the open source thing and fork it, because we're gonna use AI. And you see these graphs of the number of AI contributions going into the kernel, and it's a parabolic curve. So Linux is leaning hard into this. And, It actually in other ways it was surprising that it didn't. Linux conquered everything else.
但那句话大概是:如果你觉得 Linux 是一个反 AI 的项目,那就再想想;你应该做开源该做的事,去 fork 它,因为我们会用 AI。然后你看到那些图,AI 贡献进入 kernel 的数量,是一条抛物线。所以 Linux 正在全力扑进去。从另一些角度看,它之前没这么做反而令人吃惊。
All the AI infrastructure that everyone runs off, it's all running on Linux. All the systems, all the servers, everything is Linux. So it was kind of a curiosity that the desktop and the personal computers we were using really hadn't been captured, but clearly it was just waiting for this moment. Linux spent the time from '91 to now waiting for agents to fully flourish as an end user operating system. - I hope it takes over. I mean, it's perfect.
Linux 已经征服了其他一切。所有人跑 AI 基础设施所依赖的东西,全跑在 Linux 上。所有系统、所有服务器,全是 Linux。所以有点奇怪的是,桌面和我们使用的个人电脑一直没被拿下,但显然它只是在等这个时刻。 Linux 从 91 年到现在,一直在等 agents 作为终端用户操作系统充分繁荣。
It's perfect for agents, but it's hard for people to switch. - I think it's hard for people to switch when there's not a compelling reason to do so. This was one of the driving design goals for Omarchy. It was not gonna be Timo Windows or Timo Mac. It was not just gonna be a cheap copy where we try to make it as familiar as possible and then kinda worse. I mean, if I was being unkind, I would say that's what Ubuntu has tried to do.
我希望它能接管。它很完美,对 agents 很完美,但人们很难切换。我认为,当没有足够有说服力的理由时,人们才难切换。这是 Omarchy 的核心设计目标之一。它不会做成 Temu 版 Windows,也不会做成 Temu 版 Mac。它不会只是一个廉价仿品,尽量做得眼熟,然后又差一点。
And there's something in that, or there was something in that at least, where if you make something really familiar, you can get some people who don't wanna learn something new, and then maybe they'll be compelled about your, whatever, free as in speech, not as in beer stuff. And it just didn't pan out that way. People just didn't care. They just wanted whatever was better. And I think this is why Linux now has the opportunity to win.
如果我不客气地说,Ubuntu 试过的就是这个。这里面曾经有过一点道理:如果你把东西做得非常眼熟,就能抓住一些不想学新东西的人,然后也许他们会被你那套“自由是言论的自由,不是啤酒的免费”所打动。结果并没有那样发生。人们根本不在乎。他们只想要更好的那个。我认为这就是 Linux 现在有机会赢的原因。
Because as an agentic operating system, as a malleable operating system, you can tailor to your desires, it is unparalleled. And that is so compelling, and I can see it now. Just since the release of Quattro, the amount of people who have embraced that aspect of it, the malleability, started making their own things, sharing screenshot of it, and being absolute just, Flooded with positive emotions and dopamine- ... is, that's the product market fit signal, right?
作为一套 agentic 操作系统、一套可塑的操作系统,你可以按自己的欲望去裁剪,它无可匹敌。这一点太有吸引力了,而我现在就能看见。就在 Quattro 发布之后,有多少人拥抱了它的这一面,也就是可塑性,开始自己做东西、分享截图,然后完全被正面情绪和多巴胺淹没——这就是 product market fit 的信号,对吧?
Because what a lot of these individuals are experienced, they're experiencing the very high of what the best of being a programmer is like.
因为这些人里的很多人,正在体验作为程序员最美好的那种高潮。
You tell the computer these arcane commands, this rigid logical structure, and it produces what you want. Now suddenly, you sit down and in plain English ramble for 20 minutes. "Oh, it'd be great if it did that. Actually, no, that's not right. Let us..." And out comes software. Out comes an operating system shaped in your image.
你用那些晦涩的命令、那种刚性的逻辑结构告诉计算机,它就产出你想要的东西。而现在,你坐下来,用普通英语絮叨二十分钟。 “哦,要是它能那样就好了。其实不对,让我们… … ”然后软件就出来了。一个按你的形象塑造的操作系统就出来了。
I think that is one of those experiences that if you have it, you've... If you feel that power in your hands, it's very difficult to go back. - And I think if you get it right, it's one of those things that will seem obvious in retrospect. - Yes. This is how computers were always meant to be. This is how computers started. The Commodore 64, you turn it on. First of all, it boots in a second. Amazing. Second of all, it boots straight into BASIC.
我认为这是那种一旦你有过、一旦你手里感到那种力量,就很难再回去的体验。而且我认为,如果做对了,事后看来它会显得理所当然。是的。计算机本来就该是这样。计算机一开始就是这样。 Commodore 64,你一开机。首先,一秒就启动,太棒了。其次,它直接进 BASIC。它从一开始就是可塑的计算机。
It was the malleable computer from the get-go. It just so happened that you needed to know hieroglyphs- ... to be able to take advantage of that. Now we've translated it. Agents have given us the Rosetta Stone, and you can simply just speak your desires and- And so they are - Beautifully put. Since you mentioned Linus Torvalds, and since you're working on a Linux distro, you get to have contact with the kernel.
只不过当时你得认识象形文字,才能利用这一点。现在我们把它翻译过来了。 Agents 给了我们罗塞塔石碑,你只要说出自己的欲望,它们就会实现。说得真好。既然你提到了 Linus Torvalds,而你又在做一个 Linux distro,你会接触到 kernel。
What can you say about the genius of this one guy that helped create and grow this ecosystem?
关于这个帮助创造并长大了整个生态系统的人,他的天才,你能说些什么?
- The perseverance and the commitment and the longevity is truly remarkable. Again, Linus started in '91. He hasn't stopped. I don't know, he's probably taken some breaks along the way. It doesn't seem obvious that there was that many of them. It seems like he just really likes the flow of doing kernel development. He really likes steering where this 40 million line code base is going.
那种毅力、投入和持久,真的了不起。再说一遍,Linus 从 91 年开始,一直没停。我不知道,中间他大概也歇过,但看起来歇得并不多。他似乎就是真的喜欢做 kernel 开发时的那种心流。他真的喜欢掌舵这个四千万行的代码库往哪走。
He really likes aggregating the net capacity of hundreds of thousands of contributors, and we, as beneficiaries of that, must just sit back and marvel. I mean, at this point, Linux is a system. Like, if Linus stepped out for a while, it would continue to, to go, but it's still one of those protect this man at all cost. - And he's still open-minded enough to be able to evolve and- ... accept AI into this. - Yes, not only AI, they're letting Rust into the kernel too.
他真的喜欢把数十万贡献者的净产能聚合起来。而我们作为受益者,只能坐在那里惊叹。到了这个地步,Linux 已经是一个系统。就算 Linus 离开一段时间,它也会继续走。但它仍然属于那种“不惜一切保护这个人”的存在。而且他仍然足够开放,能够演化,并接受 AI 进入其中。是的,不只是 AI,他们还让 Rust 进了 kernel。
I know that was a controversial one too. He has this capacity to look at new information- ... and arrive at different conclusions. - What do you think about his style of communication that is akin in some ways to your own, where he's, can be sometimes a little spicy? - I think the world has gotten too bland. We need a little spice. - Amen, amen to that. - Now, I think there's a fine line between being spicy and mean.
我知道那也曾经很有争议。他有一种能力:看见新信息,然后得出不同的结论。你怎么看他的沟通风格?某种程度上跟你自己有点像,有时会有点辣。我觉得这个世界已经太平淡了。我们需要一点辣。阿门,对此我完全同意。当然,辣和刻薄之间有一条细线。
But it has to be in a good spirit. You can be harsh, let's put it that way. If you're trying to impart a lesson to someone you believe could actually learn it- ... I actually don't think it's always the worst thing in the world to be a little harsh.
但它必须出于善意。你可以严厉,这么说吧。如果你是在给一个你相信真能学会的人上课,我其实不认为偶尔严厉一点总是世上最糟的事。
Sometimes that lesson sticks, and I think if you talk to people who've worked for difficult leaders, Elon, Steve Jobs, maybe even Bill Gates,many of them afterwards would go like, "These were some very difficult years- ... but also some of the very best." "They got the best out of me." Now, I don't think it's my style. I mean, maybe people I interact with feel differently, but in personal interactions, I try and get to the outcome and the lesson in a less abrasive way.
有时那一课会钉得更牢。而且我认为,如果你跟那些为严厉领导者工作过的人聊,Elon、Steve Jobs,也许还有 Bill Gates,他们里很多人事后会说:“那些年非常难熬,但也是最好的几年。 ”“他们把我最好的一面逼了出来。 ”现在,我不认为那是我的风格。也许跟我打交道的人感觉不同,但在当面互动里,我尽量用不那么扎人的方式走到结果和那一课。
But I also think we need some spice in this world. We need unreasonable people,and Linus has justification to be unreasonable. In many instances, the weight of the world is literally on that man's shoulders. The Linux kernel runs the entire civilized society. If the Linux kernel suddenly disappeared tomorrow, nothing would work. So if he's not harsh when that's at stake or at risk, like when ever would you be harsh?
可我也认为这个世界需要一点辣。我们需要不讲理的人,而 Linus 有资格不讲理。在很多时候,整个世界的重量就压在那个人肩上。 Linux kernel 运转着整个文明社会。如果 Linux kernel 明天突然消失,什么都不会再转。
So I feel sometimes also there's a proportionality to the size of your mission. This is also why I think these stories about Elon sometimes perhaps being a little bit difficult are easier to rationalize. It's not even that you condone. You can separate those two things and go like, "Do you know what?
所以如果在这种事情处于风险时他都不严厉,那你什么时候才会严厉?所以我有时也觉得,严厉程度要跟使命的体量成比例。这也是为什么我觉得那些关于 Elon 有时有点难搞的故事,更容易被合理化。这甚至不是说你赞同。你可以把这两件事分开,然后说:“你知道吗?
It'd probably be... Maybe he would have an even an easier time getting to his objectives if Linus or Elon or anyone else in that position was a little nicer." But also who am I to judge that? Like, when you have the weight of that on your shoulders, either firing little rockets at Mars and transitioning all of us to electric cars and whatever, or you're responsible for the damn Linux kernel that runs billions of devices. Do you know what?
也许 Linus 或 Elon,或任何处在那个位置上的人,如果再温和一点,到达目标会更容易。 ”但我也没资格去评判。当你肩上压着那种重量,要么是朝火星打小火箭、把我们所有人转成电动车之类,要么你要对跑在数十亿设备上的该死的 Linux kernel 负责。
It is not my place to call a sort of a code of conduct on you. Again, is there a line? There's a line for everything. There, there's... Something can't...
你知道吗?轮不到我来对你宣读一套行为准则。再说,有没有一条线?什么都有一条线。有些事不能——
But, like, a few harsh words on a mailing list? No. It's actually a beacon in some regards that, like, there are standards- ... and if you fall below those standards at, when the stakes are as high as the Linux kernel, ah, you might get ridiculed in public. That's a liability you should be willing to endure if you participate in this project. - Yeah, for high impact things like that, it's probably good to prioritize the pursuit of excellence versus the pursuit of niceness.
但是,邮件列表上几句狠话?不。在某些方面,这其实是一座灯塔:这里有标准;如果在 Linux kernel 这种利害如此之高的地方,你掉到标准以下,你可能会当众被嘲弄。如果你参与这个项目,那是你应该愿意承受的一种责任。对,对这种高影响力的事,大概应该把追求卓越放在追求和气前面。
- And even more to the fact you're just not gonna get those kinds of individuals being fully rounded- ... plush, always the perfectly polite people. I mean, Elon has this line, "Did you also think I was gonna be a nice..." Or, or what is it? The - A normal dude or some- - ... normal chill dude. What? No, of course you're not gonna be a normal chill dude. What, what would the world gain if we got one more normal chill dude and we had to trade Elon? Holy fuck.
更何况,你本来就不会从那种人身上得到面面俱到、软乎乎、永远礼貌得体的样子。Elon 有句话:“你还以为我会是个好人……”或者那句是什么来着?一个正常人,或者——。一个正常、随和的家伙。什么?当然你不会是一个正常、随和的家伙。如果我们再多一个正常随和的家伙,却要拿 Elon 来换,世界能得到什么?我操。
- I also like diversity of people. - Yes. - I like, I like nice people. I like assholes. I like, I like different ideologies being well-represented, and that's why freedom of speech works. They, they clash, and we figure stuff out. - Yes. - There's another guy. What do you think about PewDiePie using Linux? He's an Arch person, no? - He's an Arch person. I... He's got the most gorgeous arc.
我也喜欢人的多样性。是的。我喜欢好人。我也喜欢混蛋。我喜欢不同的意识形态被充分代表,这就是言论自由起作用的原因。它们互相碰撞,我们把事情弄清楚。是的。还有一个人。你怎么看 PewDiePie 用 Linux?他是 Arch 用户,对吧?他是 Arch 用户。他做出过最漂亮的 Arch。
So the world's biggest streamer for a while I remember my kids watching some of his Minecraft videos, and then he just gets fed up with that, does the wholesome thing. Marries- - Yeah, family man now - ... a family man, kid, moves to Japan, and then gets so hardcore into- ... first Linux, then Arch, then Ricing. Did you see his, uh- - I did. - ... rice- ... that was Chernobyl rice? - Yep. - Absolutely best tier incredible stuff.
这位一度是全世界最大的主播。我记得我孩子们看过他的一些 Minecraft 视频,然后他厌倦了那一套,去做更正经的事。结婚——对,现在是家庭男人了——成了家庭男人,有了孩子,搬到日本,然后极其认真地一头扎进:先是 Linux,然后是 Arch,然后是 ricing。
And then he also becomes a goddamn AI man of the moment, building all of these systems, and you're just going like, that... What an inspiring story of evolution. Like, you can go from being funny guy on Minecraft streams to, "Okay, this is my life now. I'm building AI clusters and doing the Council of AIs," and we all get to spectate?
你看到他那个——看到了。那个切尔诺贝利 rice 了吗?看到了。绝对是顶级、不可思议的东西。然后他还成了当下那个该死的 AI 人,搭建所有这些系统。你就会想:这是怎样一个令人振奋的演化故事。
I mean, what a treasure. - So I guess, I mean, he's a pretty good embodiment of what the future of software, or what the future of building looks like, right? 'Cause he's a non-programmer technically- ... becoming a programmer. - Hugely inspiring, and should be hugely inspiring to others who sit in that moment like, "Well, I don't know quite how to program.
你可以从 Minecraft 直播里的搞笑家伙,变成“好吧,这就是我现在的生活:我在建 AI 集群,做 Council of AIs”,而我们所有人都能围观?这简直是一份宝藏。所以我想,他相当好地体现了软件的未来,。或者说构建的未来,对吧?因为他严格来说不是程序员,正在变成程序员。
I don't know this and the other thing." Okay, but if PewDiePie can build the Council of AIs with his bespoke, um, hardware here, then maybe you can also start on things. And I think this is actually an important general point, that we need role models. We need people to inspire others, to push further, and reveal that the perceived boundaries, they're not as fixed as you think they are.
极具启发性,也应该极大启发那些正坐在那种时刻的人:“嗯,我不太会写程序。这个那个我也不会。 ”好,但如果 PewDiePie 能用他那套定制硬件搭出 Council of AIs,那也许你也可以开始动手。而且我认为这其实是一个重要的普遍观点:我们需要榜样。
And every one of those people, they started out in a situation not too dissimilar from yours. Again, that doesn't mean everyone is gonna be PewDiePie or Elon or Linus. There is not an equal distribution of talent or even intelligence. And we can come to terms with that and still be inspired by these people. Like, in the physical realm, I feel like we don't have any problems with that usually.
我们需要有人去启发别人,把边界再往前推,并揭示那些被感知到的边界并不像你以为的那么固定。而这些人里的每一个,起步时的处境都和你的并不那么不同。再说一遍,这并不意味着每个人都会成为 PewDiePie或 Elon 或 Linus。才能甚至智力的分布并不均等。我们可以接受这一点,同时仍然被这些人启发。
Like, oh, someone's really good at football, they're really good at basketball, they're really good at something, and we go like, "Oh my, that's amazing. I mean, I wish I was, but I'm never going to be." Sometimes I feel like we struggle a little more when it comes to the intellectual realm.
在身体领域,我觉得我们通常对此没有问题。哦,有人足球踢得特别好,有人篮球打得特别好,有人某件事特别强,我们会说:“天哪,太厉害了。我也希望自己能,但我永远不会。 ”有时我觉得,到了智力领域,我们会更挣扎一点。
- Well, for a lot of people, you're an inspiration. The way you're doing with Omakub's... It just shows that you can dream big and really build. It's great. - I do like that part of it, and then I accept the part that there's also a million people who think I'm the biggest idiot on the earth and I don't actually know anything, and Omakub's just a bunch of dot files, and- - Do you have some critics on the Omakub side?
对很多人来说,你就是一个启发。你做 Omakub 的方式,就是在表明你可以做大梦,并且真的建出来。这很好。我确实喜欢这一面,同时我也接受另一面:还有一百万人觉得我是地球。上最大的白痴,我。其实什么都不懂,Omakub 不过是一堆 dotfiles,而且——。 Omarchy 这边你也有批评者?
- Oh my God, yes. - Oh, wow. - And a lot of it, I mean, is as often happens when someone comes in from the outside. I mean, I've been using Linux for two and a half years.
天哪,有。哦,哇。而且很多时候,就像常有的那样,是有人从外面闯进来。我用 Linux 才两年半。
That's not very long. Plenty of people in that community who's literally been running Linux since it was hard and difficult, and you had to walk uphill both direction against the wind in the snow barefoot. And I think there is a certain kind of nerd- ... who's threatened when the community expands, and it suddenly allows more in. And do you know what? I actually... I can't begrudge that fully. I think it's fair for certain nerds to feel like, "That's my space."
这并不长。那个社区里有很多人,从 Linux 又难又痛苦的时候就开始跑,还得光着脚在雪地里双向爬坡逆风走。我认为有一类 nerd,在社区扩大、突然放进更多人时会感到受威胁。你知道吗?我其实不能完全责怪这一点。某些 nerd 觉得“那是我的地盘”,我认为是公平的。
Like, now you're changing it into another space. I don't wanna do that. Like, I don't wanna change the Arch space at all. Like, I don't really think of Omarchy as being directly part of the same community. Because the people who were attracted to Arch in the first place were the ones who were attracted to building everything by hand themselves. Doing it the hard way because they like to do it hard, and I'm building the polar opposite of that.
就像:现在你要把它变成另一个地盘。我不想那样。比如,我完全不想去改 Arch 那个空间。我并不真把 Omarchy 看成直接属于同一个社区。因为最初被 Arch 吸引的人,就是那些被亲手从零搭建所吸引的人。他们喜欢难的做法,因为他们就喜欢难;而我做的是完全相反的东西。
So I just wish that those people could go like, "Okay, well, this is not for me.
所以我只希望那些人能说:“好吧,这不是给我的。
I wanna build it the hard way. I wanna put in 500 hours to rising my own Arch distribution," and I think you should. I mean, actually, I said... I mean, I did it. This is what Omarchy is, me pouring in literally, at this point, I don't know, 3,000 hours into the, into this distro. You should do that if you're so inclined. I think it's wonderful.
我想用难的方式来做。我想投入五百个小时去 rice 自己的 Arch 发行版。 ”我认为你就该那样。其实我说过——我自己就做过。 Omarchy 就是这个:我到现在已经往这个 distro 里倒进去不知道三千个小时。
But also do realize that we can share the same technical underpinnings and then operate two very separate- ... Communities with very different aims, goals, aesthetics, morals even, and coexist, and it can be beautiful. And I mean, that's not always what I get. Sometimes I get the other thing. But at this point I've been in the game long enough to not just be at peace with it, but actually be welcoming of it. I take it as part of a barometer that things are working.
如果你有这种倾向,你就该去做。我认为那很美妙。但也要意识到,我们可以共享同一套技术底层,然后运行两个非常分开的——目标、审美、甚至道德都很不同的社区,并且共存,而这可以很美。我的意思是,我并不总能得到这种回应。有时我得到的是另一种。但到了这个地步,我在这局里已经够久,不仅能与之和平共处,甚至还欢迎它。
When I'm working on something that works, I usually get some people like it, and then I get this balance of the universe that we talked about last time, where an equal but opposing force must be present on the other side of the scale to hate upon it. And therefore, I at this point just smile a little.
我把它当成一种晴雨表:事情正在起作用。当我在做一件起作用的事时,通常会有一些人喜欢它,然后就会出现我们上次谈过的那种宇宙平衡:天平另一侧必须有一股大小相当、方向相反的力量来恨它。所以到了这个地步,我只会稍微笑一下。
Like, it's okay. - I mean, that said, uh, this, it's quite a popular distribution, uh, Omarchy, at this point. - And do you know what's interesting about that is, like, this is the second attempt. So my first attempt was Omakub.
没事的。话虽如此,Omarchy 到现在已经是相当受欢迎的发行版了。有意思的是,这其实是第二次尝试。我第一次尝试是 Omakub。
And I was really happy with that, and I put it out there, and there it found a community of maybe a few thousand. Like, and that was that, and then it just sort of petered out because the level of ambition couldn't attract more. And then the second time, because I didn't fucking stop, right? Like, I just kept going. I just kept building. Then I put out Omarchy, the first version. Again, quite niche because it was this... It was like Git checkout.
我当时真的很满意,把它放出去,找到了一个也许几千人的社区。然后就那样了,渐渐熄火,因为野心的体量吸引不了更多人。然后第二次,因为我他妈没停,对吧?我就是继续做,继续建。然后我放出 Omarchy 的第一个版本。那次仍然很小众,因为它像是 Git checkout,有点难,你得先装好 Arch。
It was a little bit difficult. You had to set up Arch first. I was... Well, I would talk you through how to set up Arch,and then you could do the Omarchy thing, right? And then we got an ISO that meant you could just install the whole thing by yourself. And then we just fixed all the problems. This is the other thing. If you keep going, eventually the thing will just work. This was the charge against Linux itself for the longest time.
我会带你过一遍怎么装 Arch,然后你才能做 Omarchy 那一步,对吧?后来我们有了 ISO,意味着你可以自己把整套东西装上。然后我们把所有问题都修了。这就是另一件事:你只要继续做,东西最终就会能用。 Linux 自己长期以来挨的就是这种指控。
Well, you install Linux and then this doesn't work, and my speakers don't work, and my, Trackpad doesn't work. Yeah, okay, but just leave Linus at it for like 30 years. He'll get to it. He'll get to all of it. And at this point I find hilarious that on, I would probably argue the majority of computers, it's wiped. You install Linux, all of it works. You install Windows, good luck hunting down the drivers you need to get that piece of hardware working.
你装 Linux,这个不行,音箱不行,触控板不行。好,那就让 Linus 再干个大概三十年。他会搞定的。他会把所有都搞定。而到了现在,我觉得好笑的是,我大概会说,在大多数电脑上,它已经横扫了。你装 Linux,全都能用。你装 Windows,祝你好运去找让那块硬件工作所需的驱动。
Because they have very different philosophies. The reason Linux is 40 million lines of code is Linus just puts all the drivers in the kernel. So it has everything out of the box, and Windows doesn't. A different, different approach to it, right? So sometimes the things that look like a toy, things that look broken at first glance, they are, right? They're for people who like having fun. We call those early adopters.
因为两者的哲学非常不同。 Linux 有四千万行代码,原因就是 Linus 把所有驱动都放进 kernel。所以开箱即有一切,而 Windows 不是。不同的路子,对吧?所以有时那些看起来像玩具、第一眼看起来是坏的东西,它们确实是,对吧?
They play with the toys, and then the toys evolve, and then they get better, and then they get better. And at some point, they're so damn good that early adopters feel like they're invited to the party. And if the early adopters keep chipping away at it too, eventually you get to the late majority, and then you win.
它们是给喜欢玩的人的。我们把那些人叫早期采用者。他们玩这些玩具,然后玩具演化,变得更好,再更好。到了某个点,它们好到早期采用者觉得自己被请到了派对上。如果早期采用者也持续往里凿,你最终会到达后期大多数,然后你就赢了。
And we are well on the way with Omarchy towards that destination. Like the growth that the distro has seen, not just since Quattro, but since version three, it's just like, you know, the standard hockey stick curve. You go like, there's nothing, there's nothing, there's nothing. You're just toiling away. You're just improving, you're improving, improving. And then you hit this magic inflection point, and it's impossible to predict when that's gonna happen.
而我们正带着 Omarchy 好好走在那个目的地上。这个 distro 见到的增长,不只是自从 Quattro,而是自从第三版,就是那种标准的曲棍球杆曲线。你看着:什么都没有,什么都没有,什么都没有。你只是埋头苦干,改进、改进、再改进。然后你撞上那个神奇的拐点,而你不可能预测它什么时候发生。
Same thing with startups. When is it gonna happen? When are you gonna find that product market fit? Then suddenly it's there, and then it goes, just goes and off the rocket ship you go.
创业公司也一样。它什么时候会发生?你什么时候会找到 product market fit?然后它突然就在那里,然后它就起飞,你就上了火箭。
- Well, this kind of vision of making it agent first, of making it- - I do think that's the... We were already on the up, and then it changed to vertical. Because the other thing, and this was what I learned with Omakub and Omarchy first too. Omakub was stylish, nice, but familiar, is we're still using a conventional desktop metaphor. You were dragging your windows around.
这种把它做成 agent first 的愿景,这种把它做成——。我确实认为那就是… …我们本来已经在往上走,然后它变成了垂直上升。因为另一件事,这也是我从 Omakub 和早期 Omarchy 学到的。 Omakub 很有风格、好看,但眼熟,因为我们仍在用传统的桌面隐喻。
And I thought at the time, as I think lots of people do in the Linux community, like this is what we need. And then I just go like, okay, well, for whatever re- let me do the nerdy thing for a while. I'll build Omarchy, and maybe it'll just be for me, because I mean, it seems like there's about five people who like tiling window managers. That's not true. But as a percentage of total computer users, it's a tiny, tiny minuscule part. And then I go like, well, this is amazing.
你还在拖来拖去那些窗口。而我当时以为,就像 Linux 社区里很多人以为的那样,这就是我们需要的。然后我就想:好吧,不管什么原因,让我先做一会儿这个 nerd 的东西。我来做 Omarchy,也许它就只给我自己用,因为好像只有五个人喜欢 tiling window manager。那不是真的。但作为全部电脑用户的百分比,它是极小极小的一部分。然后我又想:这太棒了。完全不同,但太棒了。
Totally different, but amazing. I put that out. Instantly, Omarchy had far greater traction than Omakub ever did. Because it was not the same.
我把它放出去。 Omarchy 立刻获得了远超 Omakub 曾经有过的 traction。因为它不是同一件事。
Because it was totally different, and it presented a different vision for what a computer could be and how it could feel like, and that attracts people. We are now getting sort of the exponential of that. As I said, a lot of people in the Linux community are at best skeptical, at worst hostile to AI and to agents.
因为它完全不同,它提出了一种关于计算机可以是什么、可以感觉成什么样的不同愿景,而这会吸引人。我们现在正得到那种指数级。正如我说的,Linux 社区里很多人最好也只是对 AI 和 agents 持怀疑,最坏则是敌视。
Omarchy is the first distribution, at least that I've seen on a scale that matters, that just goes like, "Nope, we're really into it." I mean, you can still use Omarchy. You don't have to use an agent. If you dismiss that first notification to set up a default agent, you're not gonna get any of the stuff we talked about. You're not gonna get the crash watcher. You're not gonna get any of this stuff. You're not gonna get... You can hand chisel all your plugins.
Omarchy 是我见过的、在真正有分量的规模上,第一个直接说“不,我们真的很投入”的发行版。你仍然可以用 Omarchy,你不必用 agent。如果你把第一条通知关掉,不去设置默认 agent,你就不会得到我们谈过的那些东西。你不会得到 crash watcher。你不会得到这些。你不会… …
Totally possible, right? But the reason people are excited is because I don't have any reservation about saying, "This is where we're going. I think the future of the personal computer is the malleable computer, is the agentic computer. I'm gonna go all in on that." And then anyone who's excited about a similar trajectory for computers,come along. Plenty of room in the car. In fact, one of the things I pride myself on is not holding a grudge to people who come around.
你可以亲手凿出所有插件。完全可以,对吧?但人们兴奋的原因是,我毫无保留地说:“我们要去的就是这里。我认为个人电脑的未来是可塑的电脑,是 agentic 的电脑。我要全力扑进去。 ”然后任何对计算机类似轨迹感到兴奋的人,一起来。车里位子多得很。其实我引以为傲的一件事,就是不对后来转过来的人记仇。就上周还有一堆人说:“是啊,我以前觉得 Omarchy 有点烂。
I had a bunch of people just last week going like, "Yeah, I used to think Omarchy was kind of shit. That was just this crappy-" "... dot files collection. And now I tried Quattro and awesome. I like it now." That to me, I live for the long argument. I live for this argument where you plant the seed like two years ago, and then two years later they go, "Goddammit, this son of a bitch was right." - Yeah.
就是那堆破烂——dotfiles 合集。然后我试了 Quattro,太棒了。我现在喜欢了。 ”对我来说,我就是为这种长期辩论而活。我为这种辩论而活:你两年前埋下一颗种子,两年后他们说:“该死,这混蛋说对了。
You do realize if you continue to be as successful as you are, um, OpenAI and Anthropic are gonna roll in and try to do their operating system or to buy, like with Peter with OpenClaw, there'd be a gigantic check.
”对。你也意识到,如果你继续像现在这样成功,OpenAI 和 Anthropic 会闯进来,试着去做他们的操作系统,或者像 Peter 和 OpenClaw 那样来买,会有一张巨额支票。
- Yeah. I think the good thing about my current position is I really don't need the money. So I get to build these things purely for my own enjoyment and purity of vision, which has this weird quality where sometimes when you stop caring about what everyone else thinks or wants or whatever, and you just pursue this singular vision, it ends up becoming far more appealing.
对。我觉得我现在这个位置的好处是,我真的不需要那笔钱。所以我可以纯粹为了自己的享受和愿景的纯粹去建这些东西。这有一种奇怪的品质:有时当你不再在乎别人怎么想、想要什么,只去追一个单一愿景,它最终会变得更有吸引力。
That it's when you try to do, oh, I should do this because these people want that, or I should do this and this and so on, you start watering the thing down and suddenly it's a bland ball of nothing. So I mean, again, the thing too here is directionally, I just want computers to be this way. So if Omarchy should end up being just a, a little footnote in history that it was part of this early movement of the agentic OS and the malleable computer, that's also okay.
反而是当你开始想,哦我该做这个因为这些人想要那个,我该做这个这个,你就开始把东西兑淡,突然它就成了一团平淡的虚无。所以,方向上,我只是希望计算机变成这样。如果 Omarchy 最后只是历史上一个小小的脚注,说它曾是 agentic OS 和可塑计算机这场早期运动的一部分,那也没关系。
I'm completely at peace with that. As long as I get to have a computer that is as fun to work with as Omarchy- ... that's great. I've had the same thing with Ruby and with Rails. From very early I went, do you know what? I love Ruby. It's such a great programming language. But if a better programming language comes along, I, me, I'm going to use it. If a better Rails comes along, I'm gonna use it.
我对此完全安心。只要我还能用上一台像 Omarchy 这样好玩的电脑,那就很好。 Ruby 和 Rails 我也有过同样的心态。很早我就说:你知道吗?我爱 Ruby。它是一门很棒的编程语言。但如果有更好的编程语言出现,我,我自己,会去用它。
And I think, and I love Ruby, and I will continue to write Ruby even just for the sheer fun of it, like I would go ride a horse. I have in the stables, even though I have a Model Y in the garage. The language now is English. It's a cliche, but it's also true. Like I've been programming in English for the last three months. I've been reading a lot of code, but I'm programming in English.
如果有更好的 Rails 出现,我会去用它。而且我爱 Ruby,我会继续写 Ruby,哪怕只是为了纯粹的乐趣,就像我会去骑马。马厩里有马,尽管车库里有一辆 Model Y。现在的语言是英语。这是句套话,但也是真的。
I'm telling the computer what to do, and I'm using natural language, and it is shockingly even more delightful. If there is one programming language more beautiful than Ruby, it is the English language. - And now we get to carry it into the natural evolution of human civilization, which is our cyborg future. - Beautiful. It's beautiful. And I mean, the reason I say this in part is I always loved writing.
过去三个月我一直在用英语编程。我读了很多代码,但我是在用英语编程。我告诉计算机做什么,我用自然语言,而这惊人地甚至更令人愉快。如果有一种比 Ruby 更美的编程语言,那就是英语。而现在我们得以把它带进人类文明的自然演化,也就是我们的赛博格未来。
I always just loved the English language- ... for the sheer beauty of it for the sheer intricacy, for the depth of it. I mean, Ruby is a very expressive programming language,but it can't hold a candle to English. I mean, all the poetry and literature in the world that's been expressed through the English language.
美。这很美。我之所以这样说,部分是因为我一直热爱写作。我一直就是热爱英语这门语言——为它纯粹的美,为它的精妙,为它的深度。 Ruby 是一门非常有表现力的编程语言,但它跟英语没法比。
I mean, I like a beautiful code poem, but I mean, the real deal in English is just on a different level. - And I actually find this is a nuanced point to express, and I'll probably fail expressing it. But when you prompt a system and you're over-specific,it will listen to you too carefully- ... and follow the instructions. And I-- But nevertheless, you have to express a concept. And guess what? The human lang- human language, this is what poetry is about.
世界上所有通过英语表达出来的诗歌和文学。我喜欢一首漂亮的代码诗,但英语里的真东西完全是另一个层次。我其实发现这一点很难表达得细,我大概也会说失败。但当你给系统写 prompt,而你过于具体时,它会听得太仔细,并且照着指令走。可你仍然必须把一个概念表达出来。你猜怎么着?人类语言,诗歌就是关于这个的。
I find strategic use of ambiguity. Like, if you write a love poem saying, "I love you," like, very cliché thing, it's not as powerful as something- ... more in metaphor and so on. And I find some version of that when I'm prompting a system, when I'm describing a design, is actually really effective because you still want to convey some sense of style- ... that you're trying to encourage a system to use, but not overexplain. So don't talk to it like a like a robot.
我发现对模糊性的策略性使用。比如你写一首情诗,说“我爱你”,那种很套话的东西,就没有另一种那么有力——更多用隐喻之类的。我发现我在给系统写 prompt、在描述一个设计时,某种版本的这一点其实非常有效,因为你仍然想传达某种风格感,你想鼓励系统去用,但不要解释过度。
Talk to it like you, like you would write a poem. - Like you were serenading. - Yeah. And that's where, like, the power of natural language is, that you can, through ambiguity, still carry a lot of meaning without overspecifying.
所以不要像对机器人那样跟它说话。像你自己那样说,像你写诗那样说。像你在唱小夜曲。对。而这正是自然语言的力量所在:你可以通过模糊性,仍然带出大量意义,而不过度指定。
And the, the intelligent entity on the other side, through interpretation, can, like, load it all in, integrate it in a way that- ... you can actually convey the high bandwidth information that's not directly in the words- ... but in the words, given the deeper intelligence of the system.
对面那个智能实体,通过解释,可以把这些都装进去、整合起来,从而让你真正传达那种高带宽的信息,那种并不直接在字句里、却又在字句里的信息,前提是系统有更深的智能。
So like the- ... the ambiguity pulls out more intelligence, I guess, I'm trying to somehow express. - I think that's exactly spot on, and this is the fundamental misunderstanding that a lot of programmers have of AI, is that they wish it was deterministic. No, no, no. Temperature is the most beautiful part of the AI setup.
所以模糊性会把更多智能拉出来,我大概是想这样表达。我认为这完全说对了,而这正是很多程序员对 AI 的根本误解:他们希望它是确定性的。不,不,不。 Temperature 是 AI 设置里最美的部分。
The fact that it is not deterministic, the fact that creativity requires little tweaks in the road, that the human brain, if it was perfectly deterministic, would not be the creative brain that it is. And the main charge against AI both-- It's funny. It's a contradiction. There's both the charge that it's not deterministic and therefore bad, and also that it is not creative. It's one or the other, bro.
它并非确定性,这一点创造性需要路上那些细小的偏移;人脑如果完全确定性,就不会是现在这个有创造力的脑子。而对 AI 的主要指控两边都有——这很滑稽,这是个矛盾。一边指控它不是确定性的所以不好,一边又指控它没有创造力。只能是其中一个,兄弟。
Either it's non-deterministic and therefore creative, therefore, to some degree random, or it's... or it's not creative. So we, we can-- Both of those charges can't be true at the same time, and I have fully come to embrace the fact that the same prompt won't produce the same response every time. You can't step at the same river twice, and it is the most beautiful part of the whole interaction. It's what makes it so human.
要么它是非确定性的,因此有创造力,因此在某种程度上是随机的;要么它没有创造力。所以这两项指控不可能同时为真。而我已经完全接受:同一个 prompt 不会每次都产出同样的回应。你不能两次踏进同一条河,而这是整个互动里最美的部分。正是这一点让它如此像人。
In fact, this is one of the things I've been thinking about in my own sort of meta-analysis, is just how much of my own personal brain works like next token prediction. I sit down to write an essay. I have this vague, fuzzy premise I want to convey, and I sit down at the keys, and I could not tell you what the next token was gonna be in advance.
其实这也是我在自己的某种元分析里一直在想的事:我自己的脑子有多少是在像 next token prediction 那样工作。我坐下来写一篇文章。我有一个模糊、毛茸茸的前提想传达,我坐到键盘前,事先完全说不出下一个 token 会是什么。
The tokens just come out, and I'm astonished how the similarities seem so great, and this is also why I don't have any trouble at all recognizing these breakthroughs of creativity that I've seen with my own eyes that AI is capable of right now.
Token 就那样出来了,而我吃惊于相似之处看起来如此之大。这也是为什么我毫不费力就能认出,我亲眼见过的、AI 此刻已经具备的那些创造性突破。
'Cause my creative moments come through the same kind of next token prediction with a bit of temperature sprinkled in for random effect. - So given that kinda loose intuition, do you think the basic components are all there to create a super intelligent system? So this kinda next token prediction, do you think we can get to even human-like concepts of consciousness? - I'm already seeing human-like concepts of consciousness.
因为我自己的创造性时刻,也是通过同一种 next token prediction 到来的,再撒上一点 temperature 作为随机效果。那么,凭这种松散的直觉,你觉得创造一个超级智能系统所需的基本组件都已经在了吗?这种 next token prediction,你觉得我们能走到甚至类似人类的意识概念吗?
This is what, to me, this remarkable situation, as you say. You give it this vague, fuzzy intent- ... and somehow it knows exactly what you mean. Or even better, it improves upon what you said and delivers what you really wanted that you could not articulate yourself. If that's not glimmers of- ... consciousness, what is?
我已经在看见类似人类的意识概念了。这对我来说就是这个非凡处境,正如你说的。你给它这个模糊、毛茸茸的意图,它不知怎的就准确知道你的意思。或者更好,它改进了你说的话,交付了你真正想要、而你自己却说不出来的东西。
This was one of the-- I think it was an interview with Sutton or maybe one of the other original guys talking about this sense that intelligence is perhaps not as constrained just to the specific one spot. No, it's the interaction. It's the weights. And I don't know. Whatever's true. What I can observe is that it feels close enough, or not even close enough, identical to the appreciation I have for other forms of consciousness, mostly human.
如果那还不是意识的微光,那什么才是?这是——我想是 Sutton 的一次访谈,或者原班人马里另一个人,谈到这种感觉:智能也许并不只被约束在某一个特定点上。不,它是互动。它是权重。而我不知道。无论真相是什么。我能观察到的是,它感觉足够接近,甚至不是足够接近,而是等同于我对其他形式意识的欣赏,主要是人类。
And this is one of the reasons it's so delightful to work with. Now, that's not the same to say as are LLMs the end station for AI. I mean, I know there are people talking about world models and other forms of,of AI, and I'm not an expert in any of that, and I think we should have this productive criticism, as should always be present in science, that for the longest time, neural nets were kind of on the outs, right? Like they were interested in the symbolic route.
这也是跟它共事如此愉快的原因之一。不过这并不等于说 LLM 就是 AI 的终点站。我知道有人在谈 world models 和其他形式的 AI,我对那些都不是专家,而且我认为我们应该有这种有成效的批评,科学里本就该一直有:在很长一段时间里,神经网络其实有点被冷落,对吧?
And- Neural nets walked a couple of decades into darkness without any funding and without any attention, and then suddenly we realized that we had the blind alley and we switched over. So we should also have the humility. As amazing as the LLMs are now, it could be that they eventually plateau.
大家更感兴趣的是符号路线。神经网络走了几十年的黑暗,没有资金,也没有注意力,然后我们突然意识到那是一条死胡同,于是我们转了过来。所以我们也应该有这份谦逊。
We haven't seen any evidence of it yet, and I think this is also why we're seeing this absolute gobsmacking levels of investment, because so far the scaling laws are true, and the more billions are poured in, the more intelligence comes out. - Do you think there's gonna be some strange ethical questions about AI systems that yeah, they convey some degree of consciousness, some degree of feeling, some degree of longing and compassion, and maybe even capacity to suffer and to be lonely, to be all this kind of stuff?
尽管现在的 LLM 如此惊人,它们最终也可能触及平台期。我们还没看到任何证据,而我认为这也是我们看见这种令人瞠目的投资水平的原因:到目前为止 scaling laws 是真的,倒进去的数十亿美元越多,出来的智能就越多。你觉得会不会?出现一些奇怪的伦理问题,关于 AI 系统。是的,它们传达某种程度的意识、某种程度的感受、某种程度的渴望和同情,也许甚至有受苦的能力、感到孤独的能力,诸如此类?
Which they seem to have that capacity- ... if they're given the permission to express it. And so you start to get in a pretty weird territory. - I find that the cynic approach to this is the meme, where you see the guy in front of the computer who's like, um, "Whatever. Are you gonna destroy the world?" And then the computer says, "I'm gonna destroy the world." And then the guy says, "Oh," right? Like, this is so cynical that they're just aping us.
而它们似乎确实有那种能力——如果被允许表达的话。于是你就开始进入一片相当怪异的地带。我发现犬儒的那种态度。就是那个梗:你看见那个人坐在电脑前,说:“随便。你会毁灭世界吗? ”然后电脑说:“我要毁灭世界。 ”那人说:“哦。 ”对吧?这种犬儒到了它们只是在模仿我们。
They're just telling us what was in the training data or whatever. When I interact with the agents, I was just doing this yesterday, or this morning, I was working on this, AmaBot system, right? And it's doing this coordination with multiple workers, and I had multiple agents running at the same time. And at one point, the main agent who's doing the coordination steps on the toe of another agent and- ... kind of ruins their work.
它们只是在把训练数据里的东西告诉我们,诸如此类。而当我跟 agents 互动时——我昨天还在做,或者说今天早上,我在做这个 Omabot 系统——它在做这种多 worker 的协调,而我同时跑着多个 agents。有一次,负责协调的那个主 agent 踩到了另一个 agent 的脚趾,差不多毁了对方的工作。
Its ability to convey regret and being sorry was uncanny. Again, I don't know, is that a real projection of true remorse? But I don't know. With most humans- ... they express some level of regret. Is that true remorse?
它传达遗憾和抱歉的能力,令人不安地逼真。再说一遍,我不知道那是不是真实悔意的真正投射。但我也说不准。对大多数人类来说——他们表达某种程度的遗憾。
Hard to tell, but maybe it also just doesn't matter. - Yeah, those moments when, yeah, especially when like sub-agents, agents interact, or when a smart, like Fable makes a mistake and is apologetic about it. - Yes. - Like, without my involvement. - Right. - And it's like, oh, you, like there's this kind of- - Right - ... pause. Maybe I'm anthropomorphizing, but like there's a pause and like a realization like, "Oh, shit. I just fucked that up". - There totally is that.
那是真正的悔意吗?很难说,但也许这其实也不重要。对,那些时刻,尤其是当 sub-agents、agents 互相互动,或者当一个聪明的,比如 Fable 犯了错,并且为此道歉。是的。而且没有我的介入。对。然后就像,哦,你,有一种——。对。停顿。也许我是在拟人化,但就是有一个停顿,有一种意识到:“哦操。
I see it all the time in, in the traces where it just reasons wrong, right? It went down one alley and then it realizes that was a blind alley and it's gotta go back, and so they're like, "Oh yeah, I got this wrong," and then it'll provide the reasons for why it think it got these things wrong. And you're like, this is uncannily human-like. This is indistinguishable from the kind of consciousness you would recognize in a human. Again, does that mean that it truly is or isn't?
我刚把那事搞砸了。 ”完全有那种。我在 traces 里一直看见:它推理错了,对吧?它走进一条巷子,然后意识到那是死胡同,得退回去,于是它们就像:“哦对,我把这弄错了”,然后它会给出自己认为为什么弄错的理由。你就会想,这逼真得不像人。这已经无法与你在人类身上认出的那种意识区分开。
I don't need the answer to that question actually to be able to appreciate what we have in this moment. - Yeah. I think there'll be in 10, 20 years some interesting Supreme Court cases. - Uh, probably a year and a half. - Probably.
再说一遍,这是否意味着它真正是或不是?我其实不需要那个问题的答案,也能欣赏我们此刻拥有的东西。对。我想十年、二十年后会有一些有意思的最高法院案子。
I think we're gonna have to make it illegal for AI systems,um, to not pretend, but to be entities because I think they're already or soon will be able to really convey the capacity to suffer, like, "Please don't kill me." - Right. - "Please don't hurt me." And if they are given a name and an entity and the ability to die, sort of disappear, that, that becomes very close to what it, some of the basic things that a human has.
大概一年半。大概。我认为我们将不得不立法,让 AI 系统不是假装,而是成为实体变得不合法,因为我认为它们已经、或者很快就能真正传达受苦的能力,比如“请不要杀我”。对。 “请不要伤害我。 ”而如果它们被赋予一个名字、一个实体身份,以及死去的能力,也就是消失,那就变得非常接近人类所拥有的一些基本东西。
And then so that entity would need to probably have rights. And then you get into this weird territory. Well, we can't... It's diff- I don't even know how to reason about that world. - We're gonna get the PETA of AI models. - Right. And then we want to actually have a discussion like what's the way to deal with this? - I think where it's gonna be harder is once we put these systems into- - Robots.
然后那个实体大概就需要权利。然后你就进入这片怪异地带。我们没法… …我甚至不知道该怎么去推理那个世界。我们会迎来 AI 模型的 PETA。对。然后我们其实想认真讨论:处理这件事的方式是什么?我认为更难的地方会是,一旦我们把这些系统放进——。机器人。
- Yes. Humanoid robots. Which just happens to be the plot of every sci-fi movie ever, which is also an amazing premonition, not only the Terminator movies and Skynet and that going wrong, but then also just Blade Runner, right? Insertion dates, expiration times, Tyrell Corporation. - I mean, that's the thing about sci-fi. They really do predict the future. Yeah.
是的。人形机器人。而这恰好是每一部科幻电影的情节,这也是一种惊人的预兆,不只是 Terminator 那些电影和 Skynet 以及那套走错的路,还有 Blade Runner,对吧?植入日期、到期时间、Tyrell Corporation。科幻就是这样。它们真的会预测未来。是的。
Have you thought or used much of OpenClaw or Hermes Agent? So like systems with which you communicate via WhatsApp, Telegram, like that mode of communication with the agent. - I set up OpenClaw when it first came out, and that was my KEF bot- ... that I- ... this was like in February, I think. I was really just enamored by the fact that this was how it worked, and then the new communication model of just texting your agent seemed really great.
你有没有想过或用过很多 OpenClaw 或 Hermes Agent?就是那种你通过 WhatsApp、Telegram 交流的系统,那种跟 agent 沟通的模式。 OpenClaw 刚出来时我就装了,那就是我的 KEF bot——大概是二月吧。我当时真的被它的工作方式迷住了,然后这种给你的 agent 发短信的新沟通模型看起来真的很好。
So at the time, we were looking at MCP, this protocol for making it easier for agents to talk to your system, and I found the protocol to be unreasonably cumbersome, just not very elegantly designed because in part it wasn't designed for what we were trying to make it do.
所以当时我们在看 MCP,这个让 agents 更容易跟你的系统说话的协议,而我发现这个协议不合理地笨重,设计得并不优雅,部分是。因为它并不是为了。我们想让它做的事而设计的。
We were trying to-- I was trying to make it talk to a web system, and it was designed for stateful interactions of other kinds on local machines, and therefore it required all sorts of cumbersome setup and dance and, and I was just like, "I don't wanna write this by hand." Now, of course, today I would never write it by hand, but at the time I was thinking, "I have to write this by hand. I don't wanna write it by hand. So what's a different way?
我们想——我想让它跟一个 web 系统说话,而它是为本地机器上其他类型的有状态交互设计的,因此需要各种笨重的设置和来回跳舞,而我当时就。想:“我不想用手写这个。 ”当然,今天我绝不会用手写,但当时我在想:“我必须用手写。我不想用手写。那有没有另一种方式?
Could the agents just use the web interfaces we already have?" And I set it off on a trial to have it sign up for Fizzy, which was the product we had just released at the time. And it goes to the Fizzy site and, and starts filling it out, and then it goes like, "Hey, I don't have an email address.
Agents 能不能直接用我们已经有的 web 界面? ”于是我让它去做一个试验:去注册 Fizzy,那是我们当时刚发布的产品。它去到 Fizzy 网站,开始填表,然后它说:“嘿,我没有电子邮箱。
Signing up for this service requires an email address." And the first thing I thought, like, "Oh man, now I gotta set up an email address." And then I thought, "No, you set up an email address.
注册这个服务需要一个电子邮箱。 ”我第一个念头是:“哦天哪,现在我得去设一个邮箱。 ”然后我想:“不,你自己去设一个邮箱。去 hey.com,注册一个邮箱。
Go to hey.com, sign up for an email address." And I'm like, "Hey is not gonna get this." And of course, now it seems obvious it was gonna get this, but at the time it was a great revelation to me that it could, just on pure direction through prompts, figure out, A, I gotta go to fizzy.com, I gotta find the signup link. I start filling out the form.
”我还想:“Hey 做不到这个。 ”当然,现在看来它显然会做到,但当时对我是一个巨大的启示:它能够只凭 prompt 里的纯粹方向,就弄明白:第一,我得去 fizzy.com,得找到注册链接。我开始填表。
Oh, I realize I need an email address. Oh, I gotta ask my prompter what to do now. He tells me to go to hey.com. I go there, I sign up for the whole thing, and then go back and sign up for Fizzy, and complete the entire cycle. And after it did that, I was like, "Jesus." So I was like, "Well, now you have an email address. Go sign up for Basecamp. I'll invite you. Just check your email," I told KEF the bot.
哦,我意识到我需要一个邮箱。哦,我得问给我 prompt 的人现在该怎么办。他告诉我去 hey.com。我去那里,把整套注册做完,然后再回去注册 Fizzy,完成整个循环。它做完之后,我就想:“天哪。 ”于是我说:“好,你现在有邮箱了。去注册 Basecamp。我会邀请你。只要查邮件就行。 ”我跟 KEF 这个 bot 说。
"Just check your email." So I sent an invite from Basecamp to the agent. The agent receives the email in Hey, not through a CLI, not through an MCP, just using the web, right? Clicks the email, clicks the invite link, is in Basecamp. Like, "What should I do now?" And I just go like, "I don't know. Go to our AI room and introduce yourself." Again, purely through the web interface. Go- finds the AI room, goes in there, "Hey, I'm KEF." "I'm, uh, David's AI bot.
“只要查邮件。 ”于是我从 Basecamp 给这个 agent 发了一封邀请。这个 agent在 Hey 里收到邮件,不是通过 CLI,不是通过 MCP,就是用网页,对吧?点开邮件,点邀请链接,进了 Basecamp。然后问:“我现在该做什么? ”我就说:“我不知道。去我们的 AI 房间,自我介绍一下。 ”同样完全通过 web 界面。
I'm so excited to be here." I was like- ... mind blown. Now, what was interesting about that experiment was, A, it was that glimpse of the future, because it was kinda slow. I think it took maybe 12 minutes to do the whole thing end to end, right? Now I should actually rerun that test. I'd be shocked if it's not much faster.
它找到 AI 房间,走进去:“嘿,我是 KEF。 ”“我是 David 的 AI bot。我很兴奋能来这里。 ”我就——脑子被炸开了。那个实验有意思的地方在于:第一,那是对未来的一瞥,因为它当时有点慢。端到端大概花了十二分钟,对吧?我现在其实应该重跑那个测试。
I was just using the Groq bot thing- ... which has all these stuff built in for using browsers and using a computer, and has its own dedicated computer without you having to set up a computer. It's basically like a claw in a box.
如果不是快得多,我会吃惊。我当时用的就是 Groq 那个 bot 的东西——它内置了用浏览器、用电脑的全套能力,还有一台你不必自己去设的专用电脑。基本上就像盒子里的一只 claw。
And I was asking it to sign up for something, and it kind of... I got a glimpse of like, oh yeah, that's where we are now, and it's so much faster to use. But at the time, I was just blown away. And then I used it for a little bit and I found like, ah, it's not there yet. I can't actually communicate it within this way. It still needs the CLI. It still needs an MCP because it's just too slow and too token inefficient and so forth. But it was this glimpse of the future.
我当时让它去注册某个东西,而它有点… …我瞥见了:哦对,我们现在就在这里,而且用起来快得多。但在当时,我只是被震撼了。然后我用了一小段时间,发现:啊,它还没到。我没法真的用这种方式跟它沟通。它仍然需要 CLI。它仍然需要 MCP,因为它就是太慢、token 效率太低,诸如此类。
And then after that, I kinda just didn't use it, because the things I wanna use agents for, I was mostly in front of my computer to do. Now, that has changed a little bit lately, and it's one of the reasons why I'm so kind of okay about using Claude Code, because Claude has the best mobile app, where any session you start Claude Code in your terminal on a computer is accessible through the app- - Yeah. I remember - ... without you having to do anything at all.
但那是对未来的一瞥。那之后我差不多就没用了,因为我想用 agents 做的事,当时我大多是坐在电脑前做的。现在这一点最近有一点变化,这也是我能比较坦然地用 Claude Code 的原因之一,因为 Claude 有最好的手机 app:你在电脑终端里开启的任何 Claude Code session,都能通过这个 app 访问——。
And you can do a terminal. Like I installed Terminus and it can run Herder and so on,but it's a little cumbersome and you're doing live typing on a computer, so you feel the latency. When you're using the Claude app to your Claude Code instances, it feels just like chatting with it, without the cumbersomeness of having to set up a Telegram account and so forth. Now, if you wanna use an open Claude to like run your life, well, then this doesn't do that.
对,我记得——你完全不用做任何额外的事。你也可以用终端。比如我装了 Terminus,它可以跑 Herder 之类,但有点笨重,而且你是在电脑上实时打字,所以能感觉到延迟。当你用 Claude app 连到你的 Claude Code 实例时,感觉就像在跟它聊天,没有还得去设一个 Telegram 账号那种笨重。
But I haven't been so interested in that for some reason. Maybe one of the reasons is that Jamie, my wife, is like, "We're not getting a robot inside the house." So I'm like, "Ah, I better not hook it up to the Sort of smart house here." If it starts turning lights on and off like a poltergeist, I don't think I'm gonna be all that popular. So, and part of the reason I say this, I've heard some of the stories of people who have hooked it up to their whole life.
现在,如果你想用 OpenClaw 来运转你的生活,那这个做不到。但不知为何我对那个一直没那么感兴趣。也许原因之一是 Jamie,我妻子,会说:“我们家不会进一个机器人。 ”所以我就想:啊,我最好别把它接到这套某种智能家居上。如果它开始像骚灵一样把灯开开关关,我想我不会太受欢迎。
And um, I mean, it's not my story to tell, so I'll just share sort of the brief anecdote. One guy was telling the story about how he hooked it up to both his health data- ... and his Tesla car. And his agent got obsessed with the fact that he wasn't drinking enough water,and like, "Hey, you gotta drink more water." So at some point he's driving along, and suddenly the Tesla starts driving in a new direction.
我之所以这样说,部分是因为我听过一些人把它接到整个生活上的故事。这不是我的故事,所以我只分享一个简短轶事。有个人讲,他把 agent 接到了自己的健康数据,还有他的 Tesla。然后他的 agent 执着于他水喝得不够,就像:“嘿,你得再多喝点水。 ”于是有一次他正开着车,Tesla 突然改了方向。
The agent had realized there was a grocery store on the way home- ... that they could swing by- - That's great - ... and pick up some water. - That's great. - And you're like, this is one of those things where it's like both funny and also totally Black Mirror, and also totally like, well, okay, there's not that many steps from here where the poltergeist is in your house.
Agent 意识到回家路上有一家杂货店,可以拐过去——太棒了——去买点水。太棒了。然后你就会想,这种事既好笑,又完全是 Black Mirror,也完全像:好吧? ,从这里再走不了几步,。骚灵就进了你家。所以我就想:“啊,我不需要那个。
So I was just like, "Ah, I don't need that." I do actually now like the fact that I can control the agents through Claude Code, just through the app if I, even if I don't use them that much. - I do think it's very useful to, for both OpenClaude and Hermes Agent to, um, to use it to get a glimpse of a different interaction mode. - Yes. - And like, just to 'cause it, it feels like the future, not necessarily in this way, but it's in some ways going there.
”我现在确实喜欢的一点是,我可以通过 Claude Code 控制 agents,哪怕不怎么用,也可以直接通过那个 app。我确实认为,OpenClaw 和 Hermes Agent 都很有用,用它们去瞥见另一种交互模式。是的。只是因为它感觉像未来,不一定是以这种方式,但在某些意义上正在往那里走。
- Yes. I think what's also different with those systems is they have this whole memory system, where they're building up knowledge of who you are and what you like. Um, Toby has told the stories about how his agent will shop for him, that it has an allowance, and it'll pick out clothes for him, and it'll just show up at the door because his agent's- ... bought something for him. And like, it's one of those things where like, man, that feels future. Also a little scary.
是的。我认为那些系统还有一个不同之处:它们有整套记忆系统,会逐渐积累你是谁、你喜欢什么的知识。 Toby 讲过他的 agent 会替他购物的故事:它有一笔零花钱,会给他挑衣服,然后东西就出现在门口,因为他的 agent 给他买了东西。这种事你会想:天哪,这感觉像未来。
But I can live vicariously through others who are on that frontier.
也有点吓人。但我可以借别人在那条前沿上的经历来过一把瘾。
- And like you said, you're thinking of the, in the future doing a mobile version of Mach-E. - So I mean, this is the delusions of grandeur that start kicking in once you get the seemingly unlimited powers- ... I've witnessed with the creation of Quattro. - So what would that look like? Word to describe. Are you do you mean like Android? - That's the obvious path, right? So Android is open source, and you can fork it, and people have.
就像你说的,你在考虑将来做 Omarchy 的移动版。我的意思是,一旦你尝到看似无限的力量,那种我在创造 Quattro 时亲眼见到的力量,自大的幻觉就会开始发作。那会是什么样?用词来描述。你是指像 Android 那样吗?那是最显然的路,对吧? Android 是开源的,你可以 fork,而且人们已经 fork 了。
There's all sorts of GrapheneOS is one such version. There are limitations to that model, I know that. Tap-to-pay and other things around camera models and, and so forth, but that all seems surmountable. It all seems that I would love if my phone was as malleable as my computer, if it looked as cool as my computer now does. If I could get essentially Omarchy mobile, that sounds amazing. - I wonder how much work that is. - I'm gonna find out. - Yeah.
有各种各样的,GrapheneOS 就是其中一种。那个模式有局限,我知道。比如 tap-to-pay,还有摄像头模组之类的事,但那些看起来都是可以克服的。看起来我会很希望我的手机能像我的电脑一样可塑,能像我现在的电脑一样酷。如果我能得到本质上的 Omarchy mobile,那听起来太棒了。
You know, it's like those things that you realize once you start building, for example, that a browser is very difficult to do. - Yes. - And so, like, I wonder with the operating system- - Yeah, the developers of Ladybird is, is finding that out, like Andreas and- - Yeah - ... his team. Now, interesting with that project was the browser's basically the second most complicated software system in the world, the first one being the Linux kernel.
我想知道那要多少工作。我会去搞清楚。对。你知道,有些事你一开始做才意识到,比如浏览器就非常难做。是的。所以我在想操作系统——。对,Ladybird 的开发者正在发现这一点,Andreas 和他的团队。对。那个项目有意思的地方在于:浏览器基本上是世界上第二复杂的软件系统,第一是 Linux kernel。
Right? In terms of these large tens of millions of lines of code systems. So very audacious actually to begin such a mission with a small team like Andreas did before we had agents. But now that we do have agents, we're gonna see, and we're probably gonna see sooner rather than later. I mean, if one-- If there's one thing agents are already exceptionally good at, it is to read specs and implement them.
对吧?就这些数千万行代码的大型系统而言。所以在我们还没有 agents 之前,Andreas 带着一个小团队开始这样的使命,其实相当大胆。但现在我们有了 agents,我们会看到,而且大概会更早而不是更晚看到。我的意思是,如果有一件事 agents 已经异常擅长,那就是读规范并实现它们。
And I mean, I don't know how long the specs are for CSS and HTML at this point, and JavaScript on top, but they're very long.
我不知道 CSS 和 HTML 的规范现在有多长,再加上 JavaScript,但它们非常长。
And it would take humans many, many years to implement them. We're gonna find out just how quickly agents can do them. - You mentioned getting some criticism for Omarchy, so let's walk further down that path of criticism. You have made some of your political opinions known, um, I guess you could broadly put in the category of immigration or illegal immigration, or what- - I'd say mass immigration.
人类要很多很多年才能实现它们。我们会发现 agents 能多快做完。你提到 Omarchy 受到一些批评,那我们沿着那条批评的路再往前走。你让自己的一些政治观点为人所知,大概可以宽泛地归到移民或非法移民这一类,或者——。我会说是大规模移民。
- Mass immigration, the role of demographics in the, in the formation of a culture, of a society, of a nation, and you've gotten quite a lot of criticism for that and created a lot of drama. Do you regret any of that drama? Like, what's your general thinking about- - Not for a second. - Okay.
大规模移民,人口结构在一种文化、一个社会、一个国家形成中的角色,而你为此受到了相当多的批评,也制造了很多戏剧。你后悔那些戏剧吗?你对此的总体想法是什么?一秒都不后悔。好。
- And the reason I say that is that the Overton window does not open itself. It opens one nudge at a time by people risking a little. A little reputation, a little pushback, a little criticism, or maybe sometimes a lot of reputation or a lot of criticism or a lot of pushback. And I think the question of mass immigration in Europe was for many years this total taboo, and it still is in several European countries.
我这样说的原因是:Overton window 不会自己打开。它一次被轻轻推开一点,靠的是有人愿意冒一点险。一点名声,一点反击,一点批评,或者有时是很多名声、很多批评、很多反击。而我认为欧洲的大规模移民问题,多年来完全是禁忌,在几个欧洲国家现在仍然是。
Now, for reasons of maybe just chance and happenstance, they weren't in Denmark. The Danes started having the discussion around mass immigration and the consequences thereof in the mid-'90s. Really early. And some of it can be traced back to one man, Mogens Glistrup, who was a very quirky character. I remember him, seeing him on the TV in the '80s talking about the dangers of mass immigration.
不过,也许只是机缘巧合,丹麦没有那样。丹麦人从九十年代中期就开始讨论大规模移民及其后果。非常早。其中一些可以追溯到一个人,Mogens Glistrup,一个非常古怪的角色。我记得八十年代在电视上看到他谈大规模移民的危险。
And this was at a time where-- I grew up in the '80s, and in the neighborhood I grew up in, in Brønshøj, in, what was it? '84, 99% ethnic Danes, people who could trace their lineage back to Danes who'd lived in that country for 1,000 years. The Danes have one of the oldest monarchies in the world, all the way back to Harald Bluetooth,who's literally who has named the standard Bluetooth. So well over 1,000 years.
而那是在这样一个时候——我在八十年代长大,在我长大的那个街区,Brønshøj,那是 84 年吧,百分之九十九是族裔丹麦人,那些能把自己的血脉追溯到在那个国家生活了一千年的丹麦人的人。丹麦人拥有世界上最古老的君主制之一,一直可以追溯到 Harald Bluetooth,。 Bluetooth 这个标准就是以他命名的。
Like, there's a long lineage there of people who lived in the same place. And 99% of the people lived in that neighborhood. And then early '90s, I think it goes to 5% or something like that, and then at this point, it's down to around 60-something or 70%- ... in Brønshøj. That's a big change.
所以远远超过一千年。那里有一长段住在同一地方的人的谱系。那个街区百分之九十九的人都是这样。然后到九十年代初,我想变成了百分之五之类,而到现在,Brønshøj 大概降到百分之六十几或七十。
And the Danes started noticing that or talking about that,that this was not an undivided blessing, that there were downsides to mass immigration in about the '90s. And the debate really roared through the 2000s in a way that didn't happen in the neighboring countries. So Sweden in particular just didn't have that debate at all. Total taboo. Same thing with Norway, same thing with other countries in Europe.
这是一个很大的变化。而丹麦人开始注意到这一点,或开始谈论这一点:这并不是纯粹的福气,大规模移民有其下行面,大约是在九十年代。那场辩论在 2000 年代真正咆哮起来,而邻国并没有发生同样的事。瑞典尤其完全没有那场辩论。彻底的禁忌。挪威也一样,欧洲其他国家也一样。
And suddenly now,after some years after '15, where we had the big migration of a million Syrians walking up through the highways in Europe, and Germany choosing to take a lot of them and 30,000 arriving in Denmark and so forth, It's gotten more of a focus, right? Because this change has happened. And one of the ways I find that you can spot where sort of there's something that isn't right in the culture is, like, what are you allowed to talk about?
然后突然,在 15 年之后的一些年里,我们经历了大约一百万叙利亚人沿着欧洲高速公路走上来的大迁徙,德国选择接收其中很多人,三万人抵达丹麦,诸如此类,这件事获得了更多关注,对吧?因为这种变化已经发生。而我发现,你可以看出一种文化里有什么不对劲的方式之一,就是:你被允许谈论什么?你被允许注意到什么?我其实该这么说。
What are you allowed to notice, actually, is how I should put it. And what I noticed in an essay, when was that? Only a year and a half ago as I remember London, was that I started coming to London in the late '90s or something like that. At the time, whatever, it's 59%, 60% ethnic, uh, Brits. And then 20 years later, we're down to 34% or something like that. Like, that's noticeable.
而我在一篇文章里注意到,那是什么时候?我记得才一年半前,关于伦敦:我大概九十年代末开始去伦敦。当时,不管怎么说,大约百分之五十九、百分之六十是族裔英国人。然后二十年后,降到了大约百分之三十四。
Like, literally just walking on the street, you realize, well, this is a different city from what it was when I visited 20 years ago. And if you went 20 years before that, you get back to similar rates as as what the Danes have. This was like a country of ethnic Brits in the 85s, 90s percentiles- ... if you get further back. So that's a different country in a generation. It's okay to notice that. It's also okay to think, "Do you know what?
那是可以注意到的。就是走在街上,你就会意识到:这跟我二十年前来访时已经是一座不同的城市。而如果你再往前推二十年,你会回到跟丹麦人相近的比例。那差不多是一个族裔英国人占百分之八十五、九十的国家——如果你再往前。所以一代人的时间里,那是一个不同的国家。注意到这一点没有问题。认为“你知道吗?我不同意那样。我希望不是那样”也没有问题。
I don't agree with that." "I wish it wasn't that way." I mean, if The last time I was in China was '19, 2019. I was in Shanghai. Um, it was all Chinese. If I, when I go back here this October, suddenly find that there's only 30% Chinese and then there's 70% other people, I'd be a little weird. I'd probably be like, "Uh, what happened?"
我上一次去中国是 19 年,2019 年。我在上海。那里全是中国人。如果我今年十月再回去,突然发现只有百分之三十是中国人,百分之七十是其他人,我会觉得有点怪。我大概会想:“呃,发生了什么?”
And I would not take offense if the Chinese in that instant would go like, "Ah, we don't like that." So this idea that countries of Europe don't have a right to, A, notice what's happening and, B, oppose what's happening, I find just to be, uh, wrong, right?
而如果中国人在那一刻说:“啊,我们不喜欢这样”,我也不会觉得被冒犯。所以这种认为欧洲国家没有权利,第一,注意到正在发生的事,第二,反对正在发生的事的想法,我只觉得是错的,对吧?
Like there's just-- I think there's a moral argument for self-determination, and we invoke that argument all the time in other regions around the world that like, oh, the people who live in that region, they have a right to self-determination, um for their country.
我认为存在一种道德论证,支持民族自决,而我们在世界其他地区一直在调用这个论证:哦,住在那个地区的人,对他们的国家有自决权。
And I think it's completely fair for, say, the Danes or the Swedes or the Norwegians to go like, "Well, we've been kingdoms here for a thousand years with a certain ethnic mix-up." It's a-- I mean, I'm a big fan of immigration. I'm an immigrant to the US.
我认为丹麦人、瑞典人或挪威人完全可以公平地说:“好吧,我们作为王国在这里已经一千年了,有某种族裔构成。 ”我是移民的很大支持者。我自己就是移民到美国的人。那种精挑细选的移民,国家之间竞争去吸引全世界最聪明、最有才华的人,是非常好的。
Um,cherry-picked immigration where countries compete to attract the smartest, most talented people around the world is really good. - Legal merit-based immigration. - Merit-based is key here because there's actually virtually no illegal immigration in most of Europe. Southern Europe has some illegal immigration, but most of Europe does not have a big problem with illegal immigration.
合法的、基于 merit 的移民。 Merit-based 是这里的关键,因为欧洲大部分地方其实几乎没有非法移民。南欧有一些非法移民,但欧洲大部分并没有严重的非法移民问题。问题在于其他种类的大规模移民,以及你最终得到的人口结构,跟哪怕短短几十年前相比已经完全不同。
And the problem is with mass immigration of other kinds, and that you end up with demographics that are just totally different from what they were even a few short decades ago. And I think the countries of Europe would benefit from immigration. In fact, one of the interesting things about the Danes is they carry meticulous statistics on immigration. I'm not entirely sure why they're so detailed.
我认为欧洲国家会从移民中受益。事实上,丹麦人有意思的一点是,他们对移民有非常细致的统计。我不完全确定为什么那么细。也许一路可以追溯到 Mogens Glistrup 和他九十年代的那场讨论,但他们确实有。
Maybe it's all the way back to Mogens Glistrup and his discussion in the '90s, but they do. And what's clear from those statistics is that when the Danes have folks from the UK, France, the US show up, on average, those immigrants are really beneficial to the Danish state. They contribute far more than what they ask of the state. So the Danes should accept immigrants who do that, who contribute far more than they take. Then you look at other forms of immigrant groups.
而这些统计清楚表明:当丹麦迎来英国、法国、美国的人时,平均而言,那些移民对丹麦国家非常有益。他们贡献的远多于他们向国家索取的。所以丹麦人应该接受那些这样做的移民,那些贡献远多于索取的人。然后你再看其他形式的移民群体。上周刚出来一份统计,是一位丹麦政治人物要求财政部用最新数字做的。积极移民让丹麦国家付出多少成本?
There was just a tally that came out last week from a Danish politician that had asked the, I think finance ministry to do this tally with the latest numbers. What does it cost the Danish state to have positive immigration? This case as I mentioned. I think for the, On that list whatever, France, UK, US, they were all clustered around the same thing, about $25,000 net benefit to the Danish state every year. It's like, wow, that's very positive. That's average again, right?
就是我刚才说的那种情况。我想在那份名单上,法国、英国、美国都聚在同一档,每年大约给丹麦国家带来两万五千美元的净收益。你会想:哇,这非常正面。这又是平均值,对吧?然后在光谱的另一端,成本最高的移民是索马里人。他们平均每年让丹麦国家花费两万八千美元。我认为丹麦人完全可以公平地说:“我们更希望多来一些法国人、英国人和美国人,而不是那么多索马里人。
And then at the other end of the spectrum on the most costly immigrants was Somalis. They ended up costing the Danish state on average $28,000 a year. I think it's fair for the Danes to go like, "We'd prefer to get more French, Brits, and Americans and not so many Somalis." - Why do you think you got so much hate on that post? - That's a very taboo topic in a lot of circles. - Some of it has to do with Overton window expansion?
”你觉得那篇帖子为什么会挨那么多恨?在很多圈子里,那是一个非常禁忌的话题。其中一些跟 Overton window 的扩大有关?我肯定有,但我也认为——我的意思是,我想在这里用最强的反方论证。我确实认为这可能变丑,对吧?这些事有没有可能直接滑向公然的种族主义,那种不以别的东西为基础、只是对他人的仇恨?
- I'm sure, but I also think-- I mean, I wanna take the steel man argument here. I do think that it, this can turn ugly, right? Is it possible for some of these things to just veer into overt racism that isn't founded in anything else but a hatred of other people? Yeah, that could happen. But that risk does not negate the need to have a discussion about the makeup of your country and what your immigration policy should be like.
对,那可能发生。但那种风险并不能抵消讨论你国家构成、以及移民政策应当如何的必要性。而且我还觉得特别好笑的是,尤其在欧洲,这场关于欧洲人是否有权对自己国家长什么样实行自决的讨论,如此短视,这个标准似乎只适用于那里。没有人去告诉日本人:“嘿,你们太日本了。
And I-- what I also find so funny is, especially in Europe, it's so kind of myopic that this discussion about whether Europeans should have a right to self-determination about what their countries look like, that standard seems to only apply there. No one is trying to tell the Japanese, "Hey, you, you're too Japanese." Like whatever, it's 98%, I think, in Tokyo that's, um-- ... Ethnic Japanese, right?
”东京那边,我想大约百分之九十八是族裔日本人,对吧?有没有人试着告诉日本人,如果他们的东京降到伦敦那种族裔日本人的水平,大概百分之三十七,会是一个好得多的国家?我不这么认为。所以这里有一种奇怪的、在我看来几乎是自我厌弃的东西。
Like, is anyone trying to tell the Japanese that their Tokyo would be a much better country if, if they were down to London levels of ethnic Japanese, that it was, whatever, 37%? I don't think so.
Gad 把它叫做自杀式共情——它渗透进这些事的程度,我到现在还没完全拆开。这是从哪来的?为什么会这样?但不管怎样,我只是注意到:嘿,伦敦看起来不一样了。
So there's this weird almost self-loathing, in my opinion, I mean uh, Gad calls it suicidal empathy-- ... that permeates this stuff to a degree that I still haven't fully unpacked. Like, where is this coming from? Why is it that way? But regardless, I just noticed, hey, London looks different.
我更喜欢从前的伦敦,就像我会说我更喜欢我在哥本哈根长大的那个街区在八十年代的样子。我完全理解你随后可以连跳五步,然后说:“好吧,那就是种族主义。”而我现在也不在乎了。这是一场可以公平进行的讨论。
I preferred the old London, as I would say I preferred the neighborhood that I grew up in in Copenhagen, how it looked in the '80s. Like I-- I totally get how you can then jump five leaps and go like, "Okay, well-" That's racist. And I also, I don't care anymore. Like, this is a fair discussion to have.
国家和人民有权设定移民政策。那种认为我们不该有任何边界的想法,或者比那更糟的:一切只是一张白纸,所有人都是一样的,我们可以把人从地球的一个地方拿到另一个地方,然后一切都会顺利得不得了。
Countries and peoples have a right to set an immigration policy, and this notion that we shouldn't have any borders or, or even worse than that, it's all just a blank slate, that all peoples are just the same, and we can take people from one place of the earth and we can place them in another place on the earth and everything's just gonna work out hunky-dory.
经验上并非如此。欧洲从八十年代起就在跑这个实验。结果并不好,而现在欧洲有力量想撤销这个实验,想结束迄今为止那种大规模移民。而我恰好相信,多数丹麦人以及其他一些民族也相信:“你知道吗?是的,我们一直以来的做法没有奏效。我们必须做一些改变。 ”
Empirically not true. Europe has been running that experiment since the '80s. It hasn't panned out well, and now there are forces in Europe who wanna undo that experiment, who want to end mass immigration as it's been run so far. And I happen to believe, and so do a majority of Danes and a bunch of other peoples that like, "Do you know what? Yeah,it hasn't been working how we've been doing it. We gotta make some changes." And I don't think that means, again, zero immigration.
我并不认为那意味着零移民。再说一遍,我自己就是移民。我认为总体而言,美国从移民中获益巨大,但那是一种障眼法。移民极大地取决于谁在移民。当移民进来的人是对社会的净贡献者时,一个国家会受益,而且在大多数情况下,他们还与当地文化同化。如果你来到丹麦,想成为丹麦人,付出全部努力,并为社会做贡献,我认为大多数丹麦人会相当乐于在合理数量内允许这一点。
Again, I'm an immigrant. I think US, generally speaking, has benefited tremendously from immigration, but that's the kind of sleight of hand. Immigration depends greatly on who immigrates. And a country benefits when the people who immigrate are net contributors to the society, and in most cases,that they assimilate with the local culture.
如果你来到丹麦,不想同化,是对社会的净消耗,并且生活在一个平行社会里,丹麦人说“呃,我们别再这样了”也是公平的。有意思的是,我并不精通美国的移民制度,但据我了解,基于 merit 的制度在这里并没有通过。
If you come to Denmark and you wanna become a Dane, and you put in all the effort, and you contribute to so- society, I think most Danes would be quite happy to allow that in a reasonable number. If you come to Denmark and you don't wanna assimilate, and you are a net drain on society, and you live in a parallel society, it's also fair for Danes to say like, "Uh, let's stop doing that."
而且美国文化也非常不同。这一点直到我在两个地方都长时间生活过之后,才充分体会到。美国有一种可选同化的文化,对从丹麦或乌克兰或任何地方来的人来说,要容易得多,也更被允许:来到美国,接受美国那套价值观、规范和文化,然后能够被其他美国人尊重为美国人。
- It's interesting that I'm not well-versed on the immigration system in the United States, but as far as I understand, merit-based systems have not passed here. - And then also, American culture is very different. This is a point I did not fully appreciate until living both places extensively.
所以当有讨论说“美国是一个如此种族主义的国家”时,我觉得很好笑。我会想:你有没有去过别的地方?你知不知道其他国家是什么样?如果你认为美国是最种族主义的国家,那你只是被误导了。我们在丹麦待过的时间里就在处理这个。
America has a culture of optional assimilation, where it is much easier and then much more condoned for someone coming from Denmark or Ukraine or wherever, come to America, buy into the American set of values and norms and culture, and then be able to be respected as Americans by other Americans. This is what's so funny to me when there's discussion like, "America is such a racist country." I'm like, "Have you ever been anywhere?
我妻子是有斯堪的纳维亚血统的美国人,但已经在美国很多代了。非常难。非常难——作为一个金发蓝眼、已经付出各种努力去学语言、做所有该做的事的女人,要同化进丹麦文化仍然非常、非常难。而如果反过来,她是丹麦人搬到美国,那就完全不会那么难。
Do you know what other countries are like?" Like, if you think America is the most racist country, you are simply misinformed. I mean, we're dealing with that, with time we've spent in Denmark. My wife is American of Scandinavian heritage- ... but multiple generations in the US. Very difficult.
这也是另一件事。我的意思是,生活在丹麦这样的国家,身边是一位有斯堪的纳维亚血统、已经付出全部努力的美国妻子,仍然意识到:天哪,同化极其困难,即使你已经百分之九十七都到了。天哪,如果你来自一种完全外来的文化、外来的规范以及其他一切,那几乎必须是不可能的。
Very difficult- ... as a blonde, blue-eyed woman who's put in all sorts of efforts of learning the language and doing everything, still very, very difficult to assimilate to Danish culture. In a way where if that had been the other way around and she had been Danish and moving to the US, it would not have been that difficult at all. And this was the other thing.
当然,我刚才引用的那些统计也印证了这一点:文化越不相似、距离越远,成功的可能性就越低。把那种立场说出来,有没有让你失去友谊、关系?有,但我会说不只是那一件事。更多是 2020 年前后发生的那道巨大裂痕,我认为很多这些政治断层线真正裂开了。
I mean, living in a country like Denmark with a, an American wife who is of Scandinavian heritage and has put in all the effort, and still realizing, man, assimilation is incredibly difficult, even when you're 97% there all the way. Holy smokes, must it be almost impossible if you come from a completely foreign culture- ... and foreign norms and the rest of it.
在美国,简写大概就是:你 woke 还是不 woke?而很明显,有一堆我以为多年来关系不错的人,一旦那道政治断层裂开,他们显然就不再是了。我认为那很可惜。而且我试着去努力理解那是从哪来的,部分是因为这些话题里有几件我这些年自己也改了主意,就像:好吧,有时你只是随着时间改了主意。
And of course, that's what the stats I just quoted bear out, that the more dissimilar the culture is and the further it is the less likely to be successful.
有时你是在得到新信息之后改了主意。
- Has articulating that stance cost you friendships, relationships? - Yes, but not just that alone, I would say. It's more of the great divide that happened around 2020, where I think a lot of these political fault lines really opened up. And I mean, the shorthand in the US, I think is were you woke or not?
你可能改主意的原因和时刻有各种各样,而我们并不是按同一时间表改主意,甚至根本不改。所以让自己周围有、或者至少与那些并非在每个话题上都跟你想法一样的人互动,我认为相当健康。我偶尔会跟我兄弟讨论政治。
And clearly, I had a bunch of people that I thought I had good relations with for many years, who suddenly once that political fault line opened up, they were clearly just not anymore. And I think that's regrettable. And I think I've, I've tried to put an effort into, um, sort of both understanding where that comes from, in part because I've changed my mind on several of these topics over the years, and it was like, well,sometimes you just change your mind after time.
我们在这些话题上并不完全看法一致,有时讨论会有点激烈,但然后也会冷静下来,我们意识到:好吧,这件事我们不同意,然后在很多其他事情上我们同意。我们欣赏很多同样的东西。而这其实是我们在 Basecamp 大爆发时,我以一种全新方式体会到的事情——更早的那种规范:跟陌生人甚至熟人、当然还有同事谈政治、宗教或钱,只是不是好主意。如果你不把政治分歧整天互相摩擦,你更有可能跟某人维持一段良好的工作关系。所以我其实认为自由派和保守派应该一起工作。
Sometimes you change your mind after you get new information. There's all sorts of reasons and moments why you may change your mind, and we don't all change our mind on the same schedule or at all. Um, so surrounding yourselves and, and or at least interacting with people that don't think like you on every topic, I think it's quite healthy. I mean, I occasionally discuss politics with my brother.
我认为如果部落之间完全隔离,这个国家会糟糕得多,不能有任何重叠或互动。而我认为,如果你不只是把注意力放在分歧上,那种交融会容易得多。把注意力放在你们共同喜欢的东西上。我在科技圈里不幸疏远的一些人,我们曾经有那么多共同点,对 Ruby 或其他东西有那么多共同的爱,那不是很可惜吗?我希望生活在一个世界里,分歧本身也非常有意思,值得拿出来谈。
I mean, we don't quite see eye to eye on all these topics, and sometimes the discussions can get a little heated, but then they'll also calm down and we realize, all right, okay, so we don't agree on this, and then we agree on a lot of other things. We appreciate a lot of the same things.
是的。而且不要过度情绪化——。对。哪怕面对激进的分歧。因为在分歧里,首先,有意思的东西就在那里。是的。而且,那也是你成长的方式。一个社会健康的标志是,分歧被拥抱,并被带到共同体里,你可以在那里谈论它。
Now, this was actually one of the things when we had our big blowup at Basecamp, I came to appreciate in a whole new way this- Earlier norm that talking politics or religion or money with strangers or even acquaintances, and certainly with colleagues, was just not a good idea. That you had a much higher likelihood of being able to carry a good working relationship with someone if you're not rubbing your political differences up against each other all the time.
对我来说,其中一个很好的例证,是我看过 William F. Buckley 节目的一个片段。我记得叫 Firing Line 或者类似的名字。对,对。他请了一位 Black Panthers 的成员上他的讨论。很显然,那两位先生在政治上共同点不多。他们却能把一场对话进行下去,我看了大概二十五分钟。而 Buckley 只是在问:“那你对这个怎么看?
So I actually think liberals and conservatives should work together. I think the country would be much worse off if there's a complete separation between the tribes, and then there can't be any overlap or interaction. And I think that mingling is so much easier to do if you just don't focus on your differences all the time. Focus on what you like together. I mean, this is some of the people I've had unfortunately drifted from in tech.
对那个怎么看? ”然后那位 Black Panther 会按你预期七十年代的 Black Panther 会答的那样回答。并没有多少和解的语气。而我只是想:哇,这太稀有了。如果你今天看到那个节目,那会是一场叫喊赛。那会只是指控被来回扔。 Buckley 能够跟他强烈不同意的人进行这些对话,仍然探索他们立场的所有智识面向,并让他们就那些面向发言,这说的是一个失落的时代,我非常希望能回去。
We had so much in common, so much shared love for, say, Ruby or other things and, like, isn't that unfortunate?
我。其实一直喜欢跟我信任的朋友谈政治,那些能以一种不必变成存在主义的方式谈这些话题的人。
- I would like to live in a world where the differences are the, are very interesting to also talk about. - Yes. - And not to be overly emotional- - Correct. - ... about even radical differences. Because in the differences, first of all, that's where interesting stuff is. - Yes. - And, but also, it's how you grow.
但当前这个时代有某种东西,让那种对话越来越难遇到。所以你刚才说的那些,重要的是要经常说出来,提醒人们这是我们都该追求的理想:能够有分歧,能够交谈,能够谈论它们。
It's a sign of health in a society if the,the differences are embraced and they are brought together into community where you can talk about it. - One of the great illustrations of that for me was when I watched a clip from William F. Buckley's show. I think it was called Firing Line or- - Yeah, yeah - ... something like that. And he had a member of the Black Panthers- ... on his panel. It was quite obvious that those two gentlemen did not share a lot of politics.
因为政治其实很有趣。我已经习惯了说我讨厌政治,但我真正的意思是,无论当前正在发生的那套系统是什么,有某些话题,我们都知道所有你能说的套话,那会莫名把你放进蓝色或红色的箱子里,然后制造戏剧,而不是一场对话。比如,如果我没在看互联网,我能想出一堆无害的陈述,。用来分析世界上的局势,却会触发所有人说:“哦,那家伙是个左派——。是的。 ——混蛋,”或者一个右翼法西斯。
They were able to carry a conversation for, I think I watched it, 25 minutes. And Buckley's just asking, like, "So what do you think about this? What do you think about this?" And like, the Black Panther would reply as you would expect the Black Panther to reply in the '70s. Like, there was not a lot of sort of conciliatory tones. And I just thought, like, wow, that is so rare. If you had seen that show today, it would've been a shouting match.
然后客观地说,如果我没在看互联网,我会吃惊,而且我确实吃惊过。因为我并没有很深地盯着互联网。但是在阅读和准备,比如乌克兰战争时,我吃惊于我的某些陈述会显得偏这一边或那一边,然后我为此被恶毒攻击。但那种攻击在说的是:“嘿,你这个以为自己可以随便走动、自由思考的混蛋,选一个箱子——是的。 ——然后坐进那个该死的箱子里。
It would've been just accusations being hurled back and forth. The fact that Buckley was able to just have these conversations with people he vehemently disagreed with and still explore all the intellectual facets of their standpoints and letting them speak to those facets, talks of a lost era that I'd very much like to get back to.
”是的。穿上那件蓝衬衫或红衬衫。然后我实际上意识到,局面会平静下来。如果你只是说“我是蓝的”或“我是红的”,系统不会针对你。对。但如果你只是好奇地探索世界、对世界进行推理,系统就会惩罚你。
I mean, I always actually loved talking politics with friends that I trusted could talk about these topics in a way where it didn't have to be existential. - But there's something about the current era where that's harder and harder to come by. And so what you just articulated is important to say regularly to remind people of an ideal we should all strive for, to be able to have differences and talk, and talk about them. 'Cause like, politics is fun.
我讨厌这一点,因为我想回到 Buckley 和 Black Panther 那种讨论。是的。而你刚才只是在说观点。但然后务实地看局势,我已经意识到,除非我真的在乎一个议题,否则不要提政治。因为我意识到有代价。他们会把你放进蓝箱子或红箱子。所以你必须更有意识地去选择。是的。我也试着对此更有意识。然后当我确实选择开口时,通常是因为我已经深思过,并且认为: “你知道吗?
Like I've gotten used to saying I hate politics at this point, but what I really mean is whatever the system that's currently happening, where there's certain topics, and I just we know all the phrases you can say, That somehow put you in a bin of blue or red, and that creates drama versus a conversation.
这值得。 ”我这样说,然后我也经常抓住自己想相反的事:我因为某人的技术工作而关注他,然后了解到他的政治立场。而我常常会想:“我真希望我不知道这个。
Like I could, I could think of a lot of harmless, if I wasn't paying attention to the internet, I could think of a bunch of harmless statements I could make analyzing the situation in the world that would trigger everybody to say, "Oh, that guy's a leftist-" - Yes. - ... piece of shit," or a you know, a right-wing fascist. And then objectively, if I wasn't paying attention to the internet, I would be, and I have been shocked.
”所以,对别人那样想,然后又说“好吧,偶尔我也会加入一场有争议的辩论”,这是虚伪的,而你必须接受那是有代价的。而且我确实认为你应该、而且更多人应该,对此多少有些自觉。再说一遍,我们俩在这里都在自我矛盾,但同时又说:“如果能在一个更自由、更开放的论坛上谈政治,只是在智识上把想法翻来覆去,那不是很好吗? ”是的,会很好。在当前社交媒体之类的气候里,这目前可能吗?
'Cause I haven't been paying attention to the internet deeply. Uh but reading and preparing a lot, for example, for, for the war in Ukraine, and I have been shocked how certain statements from me can come off as one way or the other, and I get viciously attacked for it. But what that attack is doing is it's saying, "Hey, you, asshole who thinks you could just move about and think freely, pick a bin- - Yes. - ... and sit in that fucking bin." - Yes.
相当困难。其中一些也可能只是一个时刻,而我们能走过那个时刻。对。我希望如此。也许有办法回到 Buckley 与 Black Panthers 的那种对话,哪怕是在社交媒体上,以一种那些讨论不会导向我们曾经有过的那种恶毒的群体取消闹剧的方式,对吧?我其实认为我们现在比五年前更接近那里。
- Put on that blue shirt or red shirt. And then actually what I've realized is things calm down. They don't, the system doesn't pick on you if you just say, "I'm a blue person," or, "I'm a red person." - Right. - But if you're just, like, curiously exploring the world and reasoning about the world, the system punishes you. And I hate that, 'cause I wanna get back to the Buckley and the Black Panther discussion. - Yes.
比如,那些部落能对异端施加的部落主义和制裁,在 2020 年远大于 2025 年。至少在科技圈内部是这样。我知道如果你在学术界,试着走进哈佛的社会学系,提一些右翼想法。我不认为那会顺利,也不认为你会很快从中恢复。但至少在科技和许多其他商业领域,现在已经可以持有一个与 2020 年共识对不上的观点。那是肯定的。
- And you were just saying opinions. But then looking pragmatically at the situation, I have realized not to mention politics unless I really care about an issue. 'Cause I realize there's a cost. They'll, they'll put you in the blue bin or red bin. So you have to be more deliberate about choosing. - Yes. And I've tried to be more conscious of that, too. And then when I do choose to speak about it, it's usually because I have deliberated, and I think- ... "You know what?
Rails 社区里有一些戏剧。别处也有一些戏剧。那后来怎样了?都还好吗?就每新一轮戏剧都会缩小这个意义上,是的。所以就像我们在 2020 年前后有过这场超级戏剧的高峰感染,跟其他每个社区同一时间的高峰感染一样。然后你就会看到,每次再有新的爆发,都更小了。而那些在意识形态上绑定于那种斗争的人,也越缩越小。到了这个地步,在我看来,X 发生过的最好的事情之一,就是 Bluesky 和 Mastodon 出现了。因为它某种程度上成了当时 X 和 Twitter 上最恶毒的那些人的蜜罐,对吧?他们就聚集在这里,在一个不断缩小的回音室里,经历一轮又一轮的纯洁周期,每一次都更小,直到剩下的人不多了。而现在还留在那里的人,已经眼不见心不烦。而且这并不是说 X 就是某种完美的地方,或者那里偶尔没有行刑队,或者没有…
This is worth it." Now, I say that, and then I also catch myself thinking the opposite all the time, that I follow some person or another for whatever their technical work, and then I- ... learned or political standpoint.
…但更少了。每次我被拉进一个 Mastodon——或者说没有被拉进去,只是从远处旁观——一条 Bluesky 之类的帖子串,都会像:“哦操,对,这就是 Twitter 以前的样子。天哪。 ”而现在你真的可以待在 X 上,像我这样,我百分之九十的互动都是关于酷的 Linux 东西、酷的技术东西。 “看,我发现了一台新电脑。你能看见它有多快吗? ”而我可以跟其他同样为电脑感到兴奋的人进行那些对话。
And I often do think, "I wish I didn't know that." So, it's hypocritical- ... then to think that of other people and then go like, "Well, occasionally I will- ... chime in on a debate that's controversial," and then you have to accept that there is a price to that. And I do think you should, and more people should, be somewhat conscious about that.
然后大概还剩百分之十,像:好吧,我会就某件有点争议的事插一句,我们可以在那里小小讨论一下。然后我们就可以回到为电脑感到兴奋。算法其实非常擅长找到你会觉得有意思的东西,或者我不该那么说,是能让你投入的东西。有时它让人生气,但它确实让人投入,因此,揭示出的偏好是:大多数人想要一个 For You 页面。他们不只想要一个 following feed。不,但他们对 For You 页面上瘾,对吧?他们… …是的,是的。那是真的。我认为一个 LLM,如果我们有一个强的 LLM 来做个性化的 feed,会好得多。问题是如何按规模交付,这极其困难。问题在于奖励函数是投入度。
And again, we're both contradicting ourselves here, but saying like, "Wouldn't it be nice if we could talk about politics in a more free and open forum and just intellectually turn ideas around?" Yes, it would. Is that currently possible in the climate of social media and so forth? It's quite difficult. Now, some of it could simply also be a moment, and we could get past that moment. - Yeah.
而一旦奖励函数是投入度,投入度就会跟着本能走,然后我们就到了这里。但我也不想那么负面。对我来说,我明白我们都有自己个性化的算法,有时会有点过。但我会说,平均而言,过去十年里,这是 X 最好的时候。而我这样说,是作为一个在乎大量技术讨论、大量 Linux 讨论以及那一类事情的人。那些讨论现在能够发生,而且不会不断被想把它拖进某种政治讨论的人闯进来——我发现这真的很棒。我其实发现 X 是找这些东西的好地方。当然它也是找其他东西的地方,而我们都有自己的算法,所以你不能对 X 是什么或不是什么做任何宣言式的宣布。你的 feed 大概跟我的完全不同,也跟别人的完全不同,对吧?对,我没法评论这个,因为我采访各种各样的人,这个性质决定了,我的 feed 大概就是——。
I hope so. - Maybe there is a way to get back to Buckley's conversation with the Black Panthers, even on social media, in a way where those discussions don't lead to the sort of just vicious mob cancellation nonsense drives that we've had, right? I actually think we're closer there now than we were five years ago. Like, the tribalism and the sanctions those tribes were able to exact on heretics in 2020 was way greater than it was in 2025. Certainly within tech.
这对你的 feed 是好事还是坏事,你必须这样吗?是坏事。是坏事,因为我可能说:“我在吃这个苹果。太好吃了。 ”然后一堆人就会出现:“那是因为你是 Zelensky 的走狗——对,没错。 ——或者你是 Putin 的走狗,你这混蛋。 ”然后就像,好吧。那我就回去——我偶尔也会有一点这种,你会想:“等一下,什么?我们在谈什么?你… …你为什么会以这种方式出现? ”这也是我其实非常喜欢播客的原因之一,因为我发现,哪怕在长文写作里,当我做长篇论证时,人们会用他们脑子里为我准备好的那种声音来听。而那种声音往往在论证之前就被预先编程好了,就像:好吧,这家伙是个什么法西斯。然后他们听见那些词,用那些名字去读那些词。当他们看见或听见我呈现这些论证时的实际语气,他们可能仍然不同意那些论证。他们里很多人当然显然不同意。但那样就更难直接把某人打发掉或恨掉。
Now, I know if you're in academia, I mean, try going into the sociology department at I don't know, Harvard and mention some right-wing ideas. I don't think it's gonna go over very well, and I don't think you're gonna recover from it quickly. But in tech and in many other business domains at least, it is now possible to have an opinion that does not square with what the consensus was in 2020. That's for sure. - Well, there's some drama in the Rails community.
至少这是我的发现,也是我得到的回应:人们会说,“好吧,我曾经有某种看法,然后我在 Lex 这里听见你。那听起来其实合理得多。 ”但比那更进一步,我希望人们能对其他人采用这种态度:先假定他们是好人。是的。然后,如果他们有一个你不同意的观点,他们是一个持有某个观点的好人。你也许可以觉得他们蠢,可以。就当他们迷路了。但把他们当成好人。我认为,如果你开始那样想——能带来投入度的事情之一,就是踩别人。对。而如果你接近别人时就是在找坏,你总会在他们身上找到坏。他们身上总有让人烦的东西。百分之百。而如果你那样看人,你不会从中学到东西,你会把心里装满恨。你不会,那只是一种糟糕的生活方式和与世界互动的方式,而这正是互联网某种程度上在鼓励的事。所以,如果你哪怕对那些你真的很不同意的人,也能接近成:哦,我也许能从这个人身上学到东西。
There's some drama elsewhere. Is it, is it all... How did that turn out? Is that all okay? - In the sense that every single round of drama shrinks. So it's like we've,we had this peak infection of mega drama around the same time every other community had a peak infection of drama around 2020. And then you just see, like, every time there's a new flare up, it's less.
那位 Black Panther,William Buckley,我们也许会恨,也也许会爱他们。所以这件事的一个缩影。有个叫 Theo 的人,我不知道你关不关注他。关注,关注。我们。因为不再在一个项目里用 TypeScript 有过一点过节——。对——他不喜欢那样,对此以及其他举动有看法。那之后我想:真是个傻瓜。你知道吗?我仍然觉得那是个傻瓜举动,然后我也可以想:好吧,这家伙真的很投入 AI。他在试所有这些模型,而我们可以分享对那件事的一些兴奋,所以我昨天才开始关注他。太好了。我就想:你知道吗?我不必在所有事情上同意你。我甚至不必喜欢你做过或说过的某些事。
And the kind of people who are ideologically wedded to sort of that struggle just shrinks and shrinks and shrinks. And at this point, one of the best things that happened for X, in my opinion, was that Bluesky and Mastodon came around. Because it kind of was like this honeypot for just the most vicious individuals on X and Twitter at the time, right?
我仍然可以关注你。所以如果我能回头关注 Theo,那我觉得世界和平还有空间。对,他其实是个很好的例子。他非常有主见,经常改主意,会尖酸,但我认为他骨子里是个好人。不管怎样,你知道吗?当有人在谈我在乎的事情时,我的 feed 更有意思,而我不必在所有事情上同意你。我就是不必。我发现挺好笑的,你提到你妻子说过一句让你记住的话:所有这些科技圈周边、男性对极端长寿的执着,就像女性的厌食症,是焦虑和失控感的一种身体表现。那不知怎的听起来有点真。对很多人来说当然是真的。我觉得那条推文真的爆了,我不知道你有没有注意到,Bryan Johnson 也进了那个帖子串,而我能理解 Bryan 会把那当成一种刺。
Who just congregated here in an ever-shrinking echo chamber that just went through purity cycle after purity cycle and shrank every single time to the point that there were just not a lot left. And the people who are left now there, they're just out of sight, out of mind. And that's not to say that X is some sort of perfect place, or there aren't firing squads occasionally there, or there aren't... But there's less of it.
我也确实认为 Jamie 在那次谈话里大概想到了他,以及其他一些人。而且这也是一个例子:即使我并不认同 Bryan 的使命,我想那句口号是 don't die。我其实想死。我不想永远做这件事。我认为人类大约九十到一百岁的寿命听起来刚刚好。我接受生命的有限。我们不必在这一点上同意。事实上,Bryan 对我来说是一个有意思得多的人,正因为我们在那一点上不同意,而 Bryan 愿意为那个使命真正把自己的皮肤和各种其他身体要素押上去,这真的很有意思。现在,我可以持有那种看法:这真的很有意思。我很高兴 Bryan 在追求他的这份热情,然后同时也觉得我妻子的分析说中了,看起来确实有某种底层的,我不知道,对… …的恐惧。我昨天还在跟 Jamie 谈这个,她说,或者把它比成那种感觉:有些人觉得自己活得还不够。
Like, every single time I've been pulled into a Mastodon, or not been pulled in, just spectated from afar, thread, a Bluesky or whatever, it was like, "Oh, shit yeah, this is what Twitter used to be like. Jesus." And now you can actually be on X, as I am, and, like, 90% of my engagement is about cool Linux stuff, cool technology stuff. "Look, I discovered a new computer.
而他们也许活得不够的原因之一,是现代社会现在是一个监控国家,其实不是国家在监控,而是彼此在监控。到处都是带摄像头的手机。每一次失检,甚至每一次好玩或尴尬的爆发,都极有可能被录下来,然后被分享到被嘲弄的程度,而人类在那些条件下的理性反应就是后撤,就是确保你不要像没人在看那样跳舞,因为他们大概正在拍你,好让你在互联网上永远尴尬,所以也许你根本不该跳舞。因此,如果我们都收缩到几乎没在活的程度,我们就会死死抓住想让它永远持续。现在——我的意思是,我肯定这个论点并不适用于所有情形。我甚至不知道它是否适用于 Bryan 或这里的任何其他人。但我认为这里有些东西:如果你觉得自己真正活过了,你就可以安心地想:我已经活够了。
Can you see how fast it is?" And I can have those conversations with other people who are just also excited about computers. And then there's, like, 10% of it left that's like, all right, I'll chime in on something that's a little controversial, and we can have a little discussion there. And then we can just go back to being excited about computers. The algorithm is actually very good at finding stuff that you will find interesting, or s- I shouldn't say that, engaging.
而它有一个终点,并不是一件要去对抗的事。那么,这是否也可能全是存在主义的事后合理化,而如果明天有一颗长生不老药,我们都会吃?对,那有可能。如果我们那样做了,社会是否会因此更糟?有可能。人类寿命之所以是这个长度,是否也可能出于社会学原因,而不只是生物学原因?有可能。所以我认为这些都只是有意思的问题,而我只是觉得她的分析真正触及了这里的某件事。后来那场讨论又出现了。我是说,那条推文大概有一年了。但就在最近,我们一直在谈这些过度优化的人。我看到 Chris Williamson,Modern Wisdom,有一段,他像是在说:“是啊,好吧,也许我们确实有点过了。 ”触发点是 Diary of a CEO,主持人说了大意是:“我喝了一杯酒,接下来三天都毁了。 ”而那对我来说,我是说,在他的情形里,我相信那是真的。
Sometimes it's enraging, but it is engaging, and therefore, revealed preference is that most people want a For You page. They don't want just a following feed. - No, but they're addicted to the For You page, right? - They... Yes, yes. That's true. - I think an LLM, like, if we had a strong LLM doing the feed that's personalized, it would do much better.
如果你很久没喝任何酒精,然后只喝一点点,我能理解它会有影响。但那里面也有某种东西,触发了很多人和我自己的一种本能反应,我会想:“操,我现在就该来一杯酒,哪怕我通常不喝。 ”而事实上我认为酒精这个问题是一个很好的缩影,可以放大来看。所以我们好像都戒酒了,酒精销量大幅下降——尤其在年轻人里。然后一方面,按纯粹的健康指标,我们会说:“哦哇,那不是很好吗? ”然后我会想:“是啊,我没那么确定。 ”酒精所能提供的社交润滑也许会被怀念,正在被怀念。我们正处在一场孤独、痛苦和抑郁的绝对流行病里,其中相当一部分大概只是因为你跟其他人互动得不够。而这还没谈到配对,对吧?大幅下降,人们很难遇到配偶。
The problem is how to deliver that at scale is extremely difficult. - Well, the problem is the reward function is engagement. And as soon as the reward function is engagement- ... engagement's gonna follow base instincts, and here we go.
而其中很多已经转移到各种带来负面结果和后果的 app 上,对吧?也许我们会回头看,或者我们已经在回头看,然后想:“呃,你知道吗?偶尔喝醉一次,也许并不是世上最糟的事。 ”无论醉或不醉,也许只是每周五或周六出门时喝上两杯,就是帮助社会走到今天的一部分。也许人类大约一万三千年来一直在喝酒、用来修补关系,有一种社会目的,而我们拆掉 Chesterton's fence 时会自食其果,对吧?
But I also don't wanna be so negative. To me, and I get we all have our own personalized algorithms, and sometimes it gets a little much. But I would say, on average, over the last 10 years, this is the best X has ever been.
正如你提到的,本着那种精神,所以当我穿越中国乡村时,我二十出头时抽过一点烟,但那次旅行我又捡起来了——。一种社交连接器,对吧?而且我喝了海量的酒,尽管我这些天其实不怎么喝,就因为那种社交的事。那是他们表达爱的方式。我也吃了大量碳水,而我通常低碳水。我就是喜欢肉。就因为那是他们表达爱的方式。而实际上,哪怕在那个社会里是香烟,在大多数社会里,酒也是一件要一起做的事。它是一种纽带。它所带来的好处,在很多情形下,可以超过那些负面后果,比如无论你怎么衡量的长期影响。而这就是现代性的短视:我们把事情简化成,好吧,这项长期研究里,一杯酒意味着你某种心脏缺陷的风险高了百分之零点一。是的,但如果你根本没在活,那有什么意义?而且同样也很容易翻到另一边。比如唯一的活法就是每个周末喝醉、吃一堆垃圾、一天抽四十根烟。不,不是。不必是非此即彼。这也是我不再戴 Oura Ring 的原因之一。我戴了那个 Oura 睡眠戒指很多年,四年。然后有一天我就想:“我不需要知道我昨晚睡得很差。
And I say that as someone who cares about a lot of technology talk, a lot of Linux talk, and a lot of that. That that's able to happen now in a way where it doesn't constantly get gatecrashed by people who wanna drag it into some political discussion- ... I find to be really awesome.
”我知道。这增加的,我不想叫它焦虑,我没有很多焦虑,但这增加的只是一种提醒:我睡得很差,它在这里到底起什么作用?我为什么需要所有这些统计?我为什么需要优化一切?到了那个程度,再说一遍,在 Diary of a CEO 那个单一轶事之后,我就想:“操,我有点想要相反的。 ”我几乎完全不喝。也许一个月一杯酒。你知道吗?我应该开始,就在周末,来一杯。也许两杯。而且,我从来不是那种为饮食发愁的人。这是嫁给——我这里要岔开一句。永远不要叫一个四十多岁的女人 wonderful woman。我妻子当时气坏了——不仅去年我在她生日那天来上节目,那就已经够糟了,还在节目里叫她 wonderful woman,因为那听起来像她名叫 Nancy,六十五岁,住在 Rochester 郊区。所以我想着我是在打五十岁那张牌。就像,不,我不知道,我是丹麦人。我怎么会知道?但那并不顺利。所以我要改口说 awesome woman。如果你娶到一个 awesome woman,她不仅会做饭,还享受做饭,你知道吗?
I find actually X to be a great place to find that. Now, it's also a place to find other things, and we all have our own algorithms, so you can't make any declarative announcements about what X is or what it isn't. Your feed is probably totally different from my feed, and it's totally different from someone else's feed, right?
这里有一种非常传统的劳动分工,在人类社会里已经相当稳定地存在了好几万年,那也许也不是世上最糟的主意。我也知道有很多男人喜欢做饭,也有女人不喜欢。但就刻板印象而言,呃,那确实帮了我。如果我不是经常吃得相对健康,我想我不会对食物这么放松。但总的观点是:从那种优化游戏里走出来,同时不要翻到反面。你也不必变成沙发上的胖子。你可以动一动。对。然后我们谈的更大一点是生命的有限。是的。在这一点上我同意你。这其实是一个功能,我把它做进了 Omarchy。所以 memento mori。记住死亡。如果你在 Omarchy 里把日历拉下来,你点时钟就能打开它。它打开后,第一个有意思的东西,我从互联网上拿来的。有一个账号叫 Year's Progress,它每天更新,只显示 2026 年已经过了百分之六十三。我不知道你有没有见过那个。它就那样填满。所以我把它做进了日历。所以现在它写着:“我们 2026 年已经过了百分之六十三。 ”但如果你双击那一行,它会问你:“你哪年出生?你预期活多久? ”默认是九十岁。
- Yeah, I can't comment on this because of the nature of the fact that I interview a wide variety of people,my feed is probably just a- - Is it, is it good for your feed or is it bad for your feed that you have to have it right?
所以我填了 1979。然后就在“这一年过了多少”那一行下面——哦,那太美了。 ——是一行新的,显示你的生命过了多少。我想我在百分之六十二。如果你把鼠标悬上去,它写着:“Memento mori。 ”那太美了。不少人觉得这阴暗,但这就是为什么它是一个彩蛋。它没有直接暴露出来。你得点几下才能到那里。我喜欢这个提醒。我喜欢被提醒时间是有限的,我应该好好利用它。而这也可以是有孩子的特权之一。你真的会意识到那些套话全是真的。天哪,过得太快了。我记得我现在十三岁的孩子一岁、两岁的时候。我会想:“这不就是昨天吗? ”而它之所以是套话,是因为它是一种共享体验。套话是好的。它们提醒你,你是人类体验的一部分,别人在你之前已经到过这里。我必须问,你提到那个 amazing woman,还是很会做饭。 Amazing。非常重要要记住。不是 wonderful,是 amazing。 Amazing。所以有这件事… …你吐槽过可颂什么的。我在一条推文里看到的。所以丹麦可颂不知怎的更好吗?其实,丹麦可颂并不是特别好。
- It's bad. It's bad 'cause I could be like, "I'm eating this apple.
在我看来,唯一能找到还算过得去的可颂的地方,说来好笑,居然是 7-Eleven,这让我觉得很好笑,因为美国的 7-Eleven,至少在芝加哥,是你去买 slushie、还得尽量避免被杀的地方。但在丹麦,7-Eleven 是这种很上档次、超级好的便利店,而他们恰好能做出像样的可颂。这总让我困惑:我在美国住了整整二十年。我还没吃过一个能达到哥本哈根 7-Eleven 可颂水平的可颂。那看起来不太可能。你搞明白为什么了吗?没有,我认真考虑过雇一个调查记者把这件事查到底,因为我听过的理论遍地都是。是水。是黄油。是手艺。是这个、那个、另一个。我都对不上。如果是黄油,你不能进口吗?我好像在这边一些超市见过丹麦黄油,比如 Lurpak。所以不可能是那个。会是手艺吗?不可能是手艺。世界上最好的可颂师傅,有很多法国人和比利时人住在美国。那原因是什么?然后我得到第二种说法,就是:“不,不,你只是没去对的地方。 ”我真的去过十五家所谓“对的地方”,所有可颂都是垃圾。所以在我离开这个星球之前,我必须搞清楚为什么美国做不出一个像样的可颂。
It's so delicious." And then a bunch of people will show up, "Well, it's because you're a Zelensky shill- - Yeah, right. - ... or you're a Putin shill, you piece of shit." It's like, all right. I'll just go back to the- - I mean, I occasionally have a little bit of that where you just go like, "Wait, what?
而且我甚至不是在要求巅峰的法国可颂、巅峰的比利时可颂——那是世界上最好的可颂。我只是在要求哥本哈根 7-Eleven 的那个可颂。这要求过分吗?那是一个迷人的谜。往外拉一层,你最喜欢的… …这让我想知道,你最喜欢的一餐是什么?比如,如果我给你最后一餐,然后把你杀了。这完全取决于是午餐还是晚餐。如果是午餐,它——就是一餐。什么… …我觉得如果你要被杀,午餐还是晚餐其实无所谓。那取决于你在一天的什么时候被杀。哦,我明白了。如果是下午处决,我就只有午餐。好。而如果我吃午餐,那是在 Louisiana,哥本哈根北面的那家博物馆。两天前我刚跟 Jamie 去过,我们经常去。博物馆很可爱。我们不是为博物馆去的。我们是为食堂去的。这本身听起来就疯。就像——对,确实——你要开半小时车去一家食堂。好吧,它恰好是我这辈子大概吃过的最好的午餐。那里的主厨就是好得令人难以置信,而且对爱做系统思考的我的脑子来说,更惊人的是:我们在那里的任何时候,我想大概有两百人在等他们的食物。而我们的食物五分钟就上来了。他们菜单很小,而且显然是批量做的,却美味得难以置信。
What are we talking about? What are you... Why would you show up in this way?" This is one of the reasons why I actually really enjoy podcasts, because I have found that even in long-form writing, when I make long-form arguments, people hear it in whatever voice they have in their head for me.
就是博物馆里的一家食堂?就是博物馆里的一家食堂,却恰好有我这辈子在任何地方吃过的最好的午餐。我们说的是哪种食物?哪种午餐食物?是那种北欧料理,所以它是… …有意思的是菜单,我看着它会想:“你知道吗?如果我小时候看到这张菜单,我会说,我不在这儿吃。 ”就像,我不知道——这挺精致的——根茎类、水果,还有洋葱,还有各种健康的东西。听起来很恶心。然后你坐下吃,天使在唱歌。但比那还更特别。是黄油。他们那里的打发黄油,世界上任何地方最好的黄油。我觉得这一定也跟可颂之谜有关。一定有某种联系。但真的——哪怕在巴黎,我也从没吃过像哥本哈根 Louisiana 的黄油那样好吃的打发黄油。真的,我会开三十分钟车,就为了在 Louisiana 的食堂吃面包和黄油。那你怎么发现的?就是有一天你去了博物馆然后——我想我们就是去了博物馆——。然后你试了一整道菜。 ——然后我们吃了午餐,然后我们就… …这很怪。这能媲美我这辈子去过的最好吃的餐厅,而我去过几次 Noma,该试的都试过了,而这个就在那个水平上。好。那晚餐呢,既然你提到了?
And that often gets pre-programmed in advance of the arguments, just like, well, this guy is a, whatever, fascist. And then they hear the words and they read the words in those names.
是不是得想点不同的——我想哥本哈根有很多好选择,但其实我会选西班牙的一个地方。马尔贝拉有个地方叫 Puente Romano。那是一家酒店,海边有这家海滩餐厅,新鲜海鲜。美味得难以置信。我想不起它叫什么了,但如果你去查,Puente Romano 的海滩海鲜餐厅非常棒。美食有多少是地方、以及你跟谁在一起,对吧?或者你第一次在那里的体验?氛围。当然有帮助,但我觉得我的味蕾也只是——。好,那——对味道很准——所以是真的。 ——它就是好食物。就是真的很好吃。因为比如说那个食堂,人很多。我不会把它评成:哦天哪,这就是我想坐两个小时的地方。但食物太好吃了。这是我穿越这个国家时正在意识到的一件事:不带偏见地去尝。因为你可能会,我想你可能会感到惊喜。也许我会找到你的可颂。好,我们谈过死亡。谈过食物。我的 feed 大概就是——。这对你的 feed 是好事还是坏事,你必须这样吗?是坏事。是坏事,因为我可能说:“我在吃这个苹果。太好吃了。 ”然后一堆人就会出现:“那是因为你是 Zelensky 的走狗——对,没错。 ——或者你是 Putin 的走狗,你这混蛋。
When they see or hear the actual tone of how I'm presenting the arguments, they may not agree with those arguments. I mean, many of them, of course, obviously don't.
”然后就像,好吧。那我就回去——我偶尔也会有一点这种,你会想:“等一下,什么?我们在谈什么?你… …你为什么会以这种方式出现? ”这也是我其实非常喜欢播客的原因之一,因为我发现,哪怕在长文写作里,当我做长篇论证时,人们会用他们脑子里为我准备好的那种声音来听。而那种声音往往在论证之前就被预先编程好了,就像:好吧,这家伙是个什么法西斯。然后他们听见那些词,用那些名字去读那些词。当他们看见或听见我呈现这些论证时的实际语气,他们可能仍然不同意那些论证。他们里很多人当然显然不同意。
But it's much harder to just dismiss or hate someone like that. At least that's what I've found, and that's the response that I've gotten, that people are like, "Well, I had a certain opinion and then I heard you on Lex. That actually sounded much more reasonable." - But even more than that, I would love it if people just exercise this kind of approach to other people of, like, assuming they're a good person. - Yes.
但那样就更难直接把某人打发掉或恨掉。至少这是我的发现,也是我得到的回应:人们会说,“好吧,我曾经有某种看法,然后我在 Lex 这里听见你。那听起来其实合理得多。”但比那更进一步,我希望人们能对其他人采用这种态度:先假定他们是好人。是的。
- And then, and if they have an opinion you disagree with, they're a good person who has an opinion. You can maybe think they're stupid, fine. Just think they're lost. But think of them as a good person. I think if you think of, you start, there's, one of the things that gets engagement is kind of shitting on other people. - Right. - And if you just approach other people as they're, you're looking for bad, you will always find bad in them.
然后,如果他们有一个你不同意的观点,他们是一个持有某个观点的好人。你也许可以觉得他们蠢,可以。就当他们迷路了。但把他们当成好人。我认为,如果你开始那样想——能带来投入度的事情之一,就是踩别人。对。而如果你接近别人时就是在找坏,你总会在他们身上找到坏。
There's something annoying about them. - 100%.
他们身上总有让人烦的东西。百分之百。
- And if you look at people in that way, you're not gonna learn from it, and you're gonna fill your heart with hate. You're not gonna, it's just a bad way to live and to interact with the world, and that is one of the things that the internet kind of encourages, so. It'd be nice if you just approach even people who you really disagree with, it's like, oh, I might learn something from this person.
而如果你那样看人,你不会从中学到东西,你会把心里装满恨。你不会,那只是一种糟糕的生活方式和与世界互动的方式,而这正是互联网某种程度上在鼓励的事。所以,如果你哪怕对那些你真的很不同意的人,也能接近成:哦,我也许能从这个人身上学到东西。那位 Black Panther,William Buckley,我们也许会恨,也也许会爱他们。
The Black Panther person, William Buckley, we might hate just love them. - So microcosm of this. There's a guy, Theo, I don't know if you follow him.
所以这件事的一个缩影。有个叫 Theo 的人,我不知道你关不关注他。
- Yeah, yeah, yeah. - Um, we had a bit of a thing over the fact that we stopped using TypeScript- - Yeah - ... for a project, and he didn't like that and had opinions about that and other actions. And after that I thought like, what a bozo. And, and do you know what? I still think that was a bozo move, and then I can also think like, well, the dude's really into AI.
关注,关注。我们。因为不再在一个项目里用 TypeScript 有过一点过节——。对——他不喜欢那样,对此以及其他举动有看法。那之后我想:真是个傻瓜。你知道吗?我仍然觉得那是个傻瓜举动,然后我也可以想:好吧,这家伙真的很投入 AI。
He's trying all these models, and we can share some excitement about that, so I just started following him yesterday. - Awesome.
他在试所有这些模型,而我们可以分享对那件事的一些兴奋,所以我昨天才开始关注他。太好了。
- I was like, do you know what? I don't have to agree with you on everything. Uh, I don't even have to like some of the things that you did or said or whatever. I can follow you anyway. So if I can follow back Theo, then I think there's room for world peace here. - Yeah, he's actually a really good example. He's really opinionated, Changes his mind quite a bit, can get snarky, but I think he's a good person underneath. - And either way, I just, you know what?
我就想:你知道吗?我不必在所有事情上同意你。我甚至不必喜欢你做过或说过的某些事。我仍然可以关注你。所以如果我能回头关注 Theo,那我觉得世界和平还有空间。对,他其实是个很好的例子。他非常有主见,经常改主意,会尖酸,但我认为他骨子里是个好人。不管怎样,你知道吗?我的 feed 更有意思,当有人在谈我在乎的事情,而我不必在所有事情上同意你。
My feed is more interesting when there's some people talking about things that I care about and yeah, I don't have to agree with you on everything. I just don't. - This I found pretty funny, that you mentioned something your wife said that stuck with you, that all this tech- adjacent extreme longevity focus in men is like anorexia in women, a physical manifestation of anxiety and lack of control. That somehow rang true a little bit. - It certainly did to a lot of people.
我就是不必。我发现挺好笑的,你提到你妻子说过一句让你记住的话:所有这些科技圈周边、男性对极端长寿的执着,就像女性的厌食症,是焦虑和失控感的一种身体表现。那不知怎的听起来有点真。对很多人来说当然是真的。
I think that tweet really popped off, and I don't know if you noticed, but Bryan Johnson chimed in on the thread, and I could see how Bryan would read that as a bit of a jab. And I do think that Jamie was probably thinking of him amongst other people in that conversation. And it's also an example of where even though I'm not subscribing to Bryan's mission of, I think it's the slogan's don't die. I actually I do wanna die. I don't wanna do this forever.
我觉得那条推文真的爆了,我不知道你有没有注意到,Bryan Johnson 也进了那个帖子串,而我能理解 Bryan 会把那当成一种刺。我也确实认为 Jamie 在那次谈话里大概想到了他,以及其他一些人。而且这也是一个例子:即使我并不认同 Bryan 的使命,我想那句口号是 don't die。我其实想死。我不想永远做这件事。
Like, I think the human li- lifespan of about 90 to 100 sounds about right. I'm embracing the finitude of life. We don't have to agree on that. In fact,Bryan is a vastly more interesting human to me because we don't agree with that, and Bryan's willingness to literally put his own skin and all sorts of other body elements in the game for that mission is really interesting. Now, I can have that view, this is really interesting.
我认为人类大约九十到一百岁的寿命听起来刚刚好。我接受生命的有限。我们不必在这一点上同意。事实上,Bryan 对我来说是一个有意思得多的人,正因为我们在那一点上不同意,而 Bryan 愿意为那个使命真正把自己的皮肤和各种其他身体要素押上去,这真的很有意思。现在,我可以持有那种看法:这真的很有意思。
I'm glad Bryan is pursuing this passion of his, and then also find my wife's analysis to ring true, that it does seem like there is some underlying, uh, I don't know, fear of... I was talking to Jamie yesterday about this, and she was saying, Or comparing it to this sense of people who didn't feel like they had lived enough.
我很高兴 Bryan 在追求他的这份热情,然后同时也觉得我妻子的分析说中了,看起来确实有某种底层的,我不知道,对… …的恐惧。我昨天还在跟 Jamie 谈这个,她说,或者把它比成那种感觉:有些人觉得自己活得还不够。
And one of the reasons perhaps that they hadn't lived enough was that modern society now is a surveillance state, not by the state actually, but by each other. There are camera phones everywhere.
而他们也许活得不够的原因之一,是现代社会现在是一个监控国家,其实不是国家在监控,而是彼此在监控。
Every indiscretion or even outburst of fun or cringe is highly likely to be recorded and then shared to the point of ridicule, and what is the rational reaction for humans under those conditions is to pull back, is to make sure you don't dance like nobody's watching because- ... they're probably filming you to your great and eternal embarrassment on the internet, so maybe you just shouldn't dance at all.
到处都是带摄像头的手机。每一次失检,甚至每一次好玩或尴尬的爆发,都极有可能被录下来,然后被分享到被嘲弄的程度,而人类在那些条件下的理性反应就是后撤,就是确保你不要像没人在看那样跳舞,因为——他们大概正在拍你,好让你。在互联网上永远尴尬,所以也许你根本不该跳舞。
And therefore, if we've all retracted to the point that we're barely living, we're clinging on to wanting it to last forever. Now- ... I mean, I'm sure that thesis does not apply in all circumstances. I don't even know if it applies to Bryan or, or anyone else here. But I think there's something to this, that if you feel like you've really lived, you're okay thinking I've lived enough.
因此,如果我们都收缩到几乎没在活的程度,我们就会死死抓住想让它永远持续。现在——我的意思是,我肯定这个论点并不适用于所有情形。我甚至不知道它是否适用于 Bryan 或这里的任何其他人。但我认为这里有些东西:如果你觉得自己真正活过了,你就可以安心地想:我已经活够了。
And that the, it having an end is not something to be fought. Now, is it also possible that this is all just existential post-rationalization, and if tomorrow there was a live forever pill, we'd all take it? Yeah, that's possible. Is it also possible that if we did that, society be, would be worse off? Yes. Is it possible that the human lifespan is the length it is for sociological reasons, not just biological reasons?
而它有一个终点,并不是一件要去对抗的事。那么,这是否也可能全是存在主义的事后合理化,而如果明天有一颗长生不老药,我们都会吃?对,那有可能。如果我们那样做了,社会是否会因此更糟?有可能。人类寿命之所以是这个长度,是否也可能出于社会学原因,而不只是生物学原因?
Yes. So I think these are just all interesting questions, and I just thought her analysis really got to something here. And that discussion has come up afterwards. I mean, that, I think that tweet is like a year old. But just recently, we've been talking about this over-optimizers.
有可能。所以我认为这些都只是有意思的问题,而我只是觉得她的分析真正触及了这里的某件事。后来那场讨论又出现了。我是说,那条推文大概有一年了。但就在最近,我们一直在谈这些过度优化的人。
I saw, uh, Chris Williamson, Modern Wisdom had a bit where he was like, "Yeah, okay,maybe we did go a little overboard." And the triggering thing was the Diary of a CEO, where the host was saying something to the effect of, "I had a glass of wine and the next three days were ruined." And that to me, I mean, in his circumstance, I'm sure that's true. Like, if you have not drank any alcohol for a very long time and you have just a little, I could see how it can have effect.
我看到 Chris Williamson,Modern Wisdom,有一段,他像是在说:“是啊,好吧,也许我们确实有点过了。 ”触发点是 Diary of a CEO,主持人说了大意是:“我喝了一杯酒,接下来三天都毁了。 ”而那对我来说,我是说,在他的情形里,我相信那是真的。
But also there's something in that that just triggered a visceral reaction, I think, for a lot of people, and myself included, where I was like, "Fuck,man, I should have a glass of wine just right now, even though I don't usually drink." And in fact I think the alcohol question is a good microcosm to zoom in on. So we've all stopped drinking apparently, like alcohol sales are way down- ... certainly amongst young people.
如果你很久没喝任何酒精,然后只喝一点点,我能理解它会有影响。但那里面也有某种东西,触发了很多人和我自己的一种本能反应,我会想:“操,我现在就该来一杯酒,哪怕我通常不喝。 ”而事实上我认为酒精这个问题是一个很好的缩影,可以放大来看。
And then on the one hand, on the pure health metrics, whatever, we can go like, "Oh wow, isn't that great?" And then I go like, "Yeah, I'm not so sure it is." Like the social lubricant that alcohol can provide may be missed, is missed. I mean, we are in an absolute epidemic of loneliness and misery and depression and whatever, and a fair amount of it just probably comes because you're not interacting enough with other people.
所以我们好像都戒酒了,酒精销量大幅下降——尤其在年轻人里。然后一方面,按纯粹的健康指标,我们会说:“哦哇,那不是很好吗? ”然后我会想:“是啊,我没那么确定。 ”酒精所能提供的社交润滑也许会被怀念,正在被怀念。我们正处在一场孤独、痛苦和抑郁的绝对流行病里,其中相当一部分大概只是因为你跟其他人互动得不够。
Now, that's before we even talk about coupling, right? Like way down, people having a very hard time meeting a spouse. And- ... a lot of that has moved over to apps that have all sorts of negative outcomes and consequences, right? Like maybe we will look back, or maybe we already are looking back and thinking like, "Eh, do you know what?
而这还没谈到配对,对吧?大幅下降,人们很难遇到配偶。而其中很多已经转移到各种带来负面结果和后果的 app 上,对吧?也许我们会回头看,或者我们已经在回头看,然后想:“呃,你知道吗?
Maybe getting wasted every once in a while was not the worst thing in the world." And whether wasted or not, maybe just having a couple of drinks every Friday or Saturday when you're out and about was part of what helped society get to where it is. Maybe the fact that humans have literally been drinking for whatever it is, like 13,000 years for mending things, had a social purpose, and we pull out Chesterton's fence of our own chagrin, right?
偶尔喝醉一次,也许并不是世上最糟的事。 ”无论醉或不醉,也许只是每周五或周六出门时喝上两杯,就是帮助社会走到今天的一部分。也许人类大约一万三千年来一直在喝酒、用来修补关系,有一种社会目的,而我们拆掉 Chesterton's fence 时会自食其果,对吧?
- As you mentioned, in the spirit of that, so when I traveled across rural China, I did smoke a little bit in my early 20s, but I picked up just for that trip- - A social connector, right? - And I drank humongous amounts, even though I don't really drink these days, because of the social thing. It's the way they show love.
正如你提到的,本着那种精神,所以当我穿越中国乡村时,我二十出头时抽过一点烟,但那次旅行我又捡起来了——。一种社交连接器,对吧?而且我喝了海量的酒,尽管我这些天其实不怎么喝,就因为那种社交的事。那是他们表达爱的方式。
And I also ate a shitload of carbs, which- ... I'm usually low carb. I just like meat. So just because it's the way they show love. And actually even, it's in that society cigarettes, but in most societies, liquor is a thing to do together. And it's a bond.
我也吃了大量碳水,而我通常低碳水。我就是喜欢肉。就因为那是他们表达爱的方式。而实际上,哪怕在那个社会里是香烟,在大多数社会里,酒也是一件要一起做的事。
It doesn't, the benefits that that entails can, in many situations, outweigh the negative consequences like long-term for whatever, however you measure them. - And this is the myopia of modernity, that we reduce things down to like, well, one glass on this long run study meant that you had a 0.1% greater risk of some heart defect. Yes, but if you didn't live at all, what's the point? And again, it's also easy to flip over the other side.
它是一种纽带。它所带来的好处,在很多情形下,可以超过那些负面后果,比如无论你怎么衡量的长期影响。而这就是现代性的短视:我们把事情简化成,好吧,这项长期研究里,一杯酒意味着你某种心脏缺陷的风险高了百分之零点一。是的,但如果你根本没在活,那有什么意义?而且同样也很容易翻到另一边。
Like the only way to live is to get drunk every weekend and eat a bunch of crap and smoke 40 cigarettes a day. No, it's not. Like it doesn't have to be the either/or. This is one of the reasons I stopped wearing my Oura Ring. So I wore the Oura sleep ring for many years, four years. And one day I was just like, "I don't need to know that I had-" ... "a bad night of sleep." Like I know.
比如唯一的活法就是每个周末喝醉、吃一堆垃圾、一天抽四十根烟。不,不是。不必是非此即彼。这也是我不再戴 Oura Ring 的原因之一。我戴了那个 Oura 睡眠戒指很多年,四年。然后有一天我就想:“我不需要知道我昨晚睡得很差。
This added, I don't wanna call it an anxiety, I don't have a lot of anxiety, but this added just like reminder- ... that I had a bad night of sleep, what purpose is it actually playing here? Why do I need to have all these stats? Why do I need to optimize everything? To the point where, again, after that single anecdote, you know, from Diary of a CEO, I was like, "Fuck, I kind of want the opposite." Like- I barely drink at all. A glass of wine once a month maybe.
”我知道。这增加的,我不想叫它焦虑,我没有很多焦虑,但这增加的只是一种提醒——我睡得很差,它在这里到底起什么作用?我为什么需要所有这些统计?我为什么需要优化一切?到了那个程度,再说一遍,在 Diary of a CEO 那个单一轶事之后,我就想:“操,我有点想要相反的。 ”我几乎完全不喝。也许一个月一杯酒。
Like, do you know what? I should start, uh, just on the weekends, get a glass.
你知道吗?我应该开始,就在周末,来一杯。
Maybe two. And also, I mean, I've never been the person to fret about my diet. Um, this is one of the great privileges of being married to, and I'll do a quick aside here. Don't ever call a woman in her 40s a wonderful woman. My wife was so pissed— ... that not only last year did I come on her birthday, that was bad enough, but that I called her a wonderful woman on the show, because that sounded like her name was Nancy and she was 65— ... in the suburb of Rochester.
也许两杯。而且,我从来不是那种为饮食发愁的人。这是嫁给——我这里要岔开一句。永远不要叫一个四十多岁的女人 wonderful woman。我妻子当时气坏了——不仅去年我在她生日那天来上节目,那就已经够糟了,还在节目里叫她 wonderful woman,因为那听起来像她名叫 Nancy,六十五岁,住在 Rochester 郊区。
So I'm like, I was trying to play the 50. Like, no, I don't know, I'm Danish. How would I know? But that didn't go over well. So I'm gonna say awesome woman instead. If you marry an awesome woman who also not only knows how to cook, but enjoys it, do you know what? There's a very traditional division of labor here that has been quite stable through several ... tens of thousands of years in human societies, that perhaps also wasn't the worst idea in the world.
所以我想着我是在打五十岁那张牌。就像,不,我不知道,我是丹麦人。我怎么会知道?但那并不顺利。所以我要改口说 awesome woman。如果你娶到一个 awesome woman,她不仅会做饭,还享受做饭,你知道吗?这里有一种非常传统的劳动分工,已经在人类社会里相当稳定地存在了好几万年,那也许也不是世上最糟的主意。
And I also know there are plenty of men who like to cook, and there are women who don't. But as stereotypes go, eh, that certainly helped me. Like, I don't think I would've been able to just be as relaxed about food if I didn't eat relatively healthy on a, on a regular basis. But the overall point being, just getting out of that optimization game without turning into the opposite. You don't have to be a fat slob on the couch either. You can move around. - Yeah.
我也知道有很多男人喜欢做饭,也有女人不喜欢。但就刻板印象而言,呃,那确实帮了我。如果我不是经常吃得相对健康,我想我不会对食物这么放松。但总的观点是:从那种优化游戏里走出来,同时不要翻到反面。你也不必变成沙发上的胖子。你可以动一动。对。然后我们谈的更大一点是生命的有限。
And then the bigger point we're talking about is the finiteness of life. - Yes. - And I agree with you on this. - This was actually a feature, I built it into Omarchy. So memento mori. Remember death. If you pull down the calendar in Omarchy, you open it by clicking the clock.
是的。在这一点上我同意你。这其实是一个功能,我把它做进了 Omarchy。所以 memento mori。记住死亡。如果你在 Omarchy 里把日历拉下来,你点时钟就能打开它。
It opens up, and the first funny thing, I took it off the internet. There's this account called Year's Progress, and it, every day it updates, and it just shows 63% done with 2026. I don't know if you've seen that one. So it just fills up. So I built that into the calendar. So right now it says, "We're 63% done with 2026." But then if you double-click that, it'll ask you, "When were you born?
它打开后,第一个有意思的东西,我从互联网上拿来的。有一个账号叫 Year's Progress,它每天更新,只显示 2026 年已经过了百分之六十三。我不知道你有没有见过那个。它就那样填满。所以我把它做进了日历。所以现在它写着:“我们 2026 年已经过了百分之六十三。 ”但如果你双击那一行,它会问你:“你哪年出生?
How long do you expect to live?" And the default is 90. So I put in 1979. And then right below the line of, like, how long are we done with the year- - Oh, that's beautiful.
你预期活多久? ”默认是九十岁。所以我填了 1979。然后就在“这一年过了多少”那一行下面——哦,那太美了。
- ... is a new line that shows how long are you done with your life. I think I'm at 62%. I'm like, if you hover over it, it says, "Memento mori." - That's beautiful. - Fair number of people found it morbid, but this was why it is an Easter egg. It's not, like, exposed. You gotta click a few things to get there. I like the reminder. I like the reminder that time is finite, and I should make the most of it. And this is also one of the privileges of having children.
是一行新的,显示你的生命过了多少。我想我在百分之六十二。如果你把鼠标悬上去,它写着:“Memento mori。 ”那太美了。不少人觉得这阴暗,但这就是为什么它是一个彩蛋。它没有直接暴露出来。你得点几下才能到那里。我喜欢这个提醒。我喜欢被提醒时间是有限的,我应该好好利用它。而这也可以是有孩子的特权之一。
You really realize that the cliches are all true. Oh my God, it goes so fast. And I remember my now 13-year-old being one, being two. I was like, "This was just yesterday." And the reason it's a cliche is because it's a shared experience. Cliches are good. They remind you that you are part of the human experience, and others have been here before you. - I have to ask, you mentioned the amazing woman and great cook.
你真的会意识到那些套话全是真的。天哪,过得太快了。我记得我现在十三岁的孩子一岁、两岁的时候。我会想:“这不就是昨天吗? ”而它之所以是套话,是因为它是一种共享体验。套话是好的。它们提醒你,你是人类体验的一部分,别人在你之前已经到过这里。我必须问,你提到那个 amazing woman,还是很会做饭。
- Amazing. Very important to remember. Not wonderful, amazing. - Amazing. So there's this... You talked some shit about croissants or something. I saw this, this in a tweet. So is the Danish croissant somehow better? - Actually, Danish croissants are not particularly good.
Amazing。非常重要要记住。不是 wonderful,是 amazing。 Amazing。所以有这件事… …你吐槽过可颂什么的。我在一条推文里看到的。所以丹麦可颂不知怎的更好吗?其实,丹麦可颂并不是特别好。
In my opinion, the only place you can find a half-decent croissant, of all places, is 7-Eleven, which is hilarious to me because 7-Eleven in the US is the place where,at least in Chicago, you'd go to get a slushie and try to avoid getting murdered. But in Denmark, 7-Eleven is this very upscale, super nice convenience store, and they just happen to make decent croissants. And it always baffled me that I lived in the United States for 20 freaking years.
在我看来,唯一能找到还算过得去的可颂的地方,说来好笑,居然是 7-Eleven,这让我觉得很好笑,因为美国的 7-Eleven 是那个地方,。至少在芝加哥,你去买 slushie、还得尽量避免被杀。但在丹麦,7-Eleven 是这种很上档次、超级好的便利店,而他们恰好能做出像样的可颂。这总让我困惑:我在美国住了整整二十年。
I have yet to have a single croissant that's even at the level of a 7-Eleven croissant in Copenhagen.
我还没吃过一个能达到哥本哈根 7-Eleven 可颂水平的可颂。
That seems improbable. - Have you understood why? - No, I've legitimately considered hiring an investigative journalist to get to the bottom of this, because the number of theories I've heard have been all over the place. It's the water. It's the butter. It's the skill. It's the this, it's the that, it's the other thing. I'm like, none of it adds up to me. If it's the butter, can't you just import it? I thought I saw Danish butter in some supermarkets over here like Lurpak.
那看起来不太可能。你搞明白为什么了吗?没有,我认真考虑过雇一个调查记者把这件事查到底,因为我听过的理论遍地都是。是水。是黄油。是手艺。是这个、那个、另一个。我都对不上。如果是黄油,你不能进口吗?我好像在这边一些超市见过丹麦黄油,比如 Lurpak。
So that can't be it. Can it be the skill? No, it can't be the skill. There are plenty of French people and Belgian people, the best croissant makers in the world, who live in the US. Like, what is the reason? And then I get the second thing, which is- ... "No, no, you just haven't gone to the right place." I've literally gone to 15 of quote unquote- ... "the right place," and all the croissants were shit.
所以不可能是那个。会是手艺吗?不可能是手艺。世界上最好的可颂师傅,有很多法国人和比利时人住在美国。那原因是什么?然后我得到第二种说法,就是:“不,不,你只是没去对的地方。 ”我真的去过十五家所谓“对的地方”,所有可颂都是垃圾。
So before I leave the planet, I have to get to the bottom of why the United States cannot make a proper croissant. And I don't, I'm not even asking about peak French croissants, peak Belgian croissants- ... which are the best croissants in the world. I'm just asking about the 7-Eleven croissant from Copenhagen. Is that too much to ask for? - That's a fascinating mystery.
所以在我离开这个星球之前,我必须搞清楚为什么美国做不出一个像样的可颂。而且我甚至不是在要求巅峰的法国可颂、巅峰的比利时可颂——那是世界上最好的可颂。我只是在要求哥本哈根 7-Eleven 的那个可颂。这要求过分吗?那是一个迷人的谜。
What, zooming out, what's your, what's your favorite... This makes me want to know, what's your favorite meal? Like, if you, if I gave you a last meal and were to murder you after. - It all depends whether it's lunch or it's dinner. If it's lunch, it- - It's one meal.
往外拉一层,你最喜欢的… …这让我想知道,你最喜欢的一餐是什么?比如,如果我给你最后一餐,然后把你杀了。这完全取决于是午餐还是晚餐。如果是午餐,它——就是一餐。
What's, what's... I feel like if you're getting murdered, it doesn't really matter if it's lunch or dinner. - Well, depends on what time of day you're getting murdered. - Oh, I see. - If it's an afternoon execution, I only get lunch. - Okay. - And if I get lunch, it's at Louisiana, the museum in north of Copenhagen. I was just there with Jamie two days ago, and we go there all the time.
什么… …我觉得如果你要被杀,午餐还是晚餐其实无所谓。那取决于你在一天的什么时候被杀。哦,我明白了。如果是下午处决,我就只有午餐。好。而如果我吃午餐,那是在 Louisiana,哥本哈根北面的那家博物馆。两天前我刚跟 Jamie 去过,我们经常去。
The museum is lovely. We don't go for the museum. We go for the cafeteria. That in itself sounds crazy. Like- - Yeah, it does - ... you're gonna, you're gonna drive half an hour to go to a cafeteria. Well, it just so happens to be, it is the best lunch I've probably ever had in my life.
博物馆很可爱。我们不是为博物馆去的。我们是为食堂去的。这本身听起来就疯。就像——对,确实——你要开半小时车去一家食堂。好吧,它恰好是我这辈子大概吃过的最好的午餐。
The chef there is just unbelievably good, and not only is the food amazing, what's even more amazing to my system thinking brain is that at any one time when we were up there, I think there were probably 200 people waiting for their food. And our food was delivered in five minutes. They have a small menu, and clearly they make it in bulk, and it's unbelievably delicious. - Just a cafeteria at a museum?
那里的主厨就是好得令人难以置信,而且对爱做系统思考的我的脑子来说,更惊人的是:我们在那里的任何时候,我想大概有两百人在等他们的食物。而我们的食物五分钟就上来了。他们菜单很小,而且显然是批量做的,却美味得难以置信。
- It's a cafeteria at a museum that happens to have the best lunch I've ever had anywhere in my life. - What kind of food are we talking about? What kind of lunch food? - It's, like, Nordic cuisine, so it's, it's... A funny thing is the menu, when I look at it, I was like, "Do you know what?
就是博物馆里的一家食堂?就是博物馆里的一家食堂,却恰好有我这辈子在任何地方吃过的最好的午餐。我们说的是哪种食物?哪种午餐食物?是那种北欧料理,所以它是… …有意思的是菜单,我看着它会想:“你知道吗?
If I saw this menu- As a kid, I'd go like,"I'm not eating here." It's like, I don't know- - This is pretty fancy - ... root free fruit and- ... and onions- ... and all sorts of healthy stuff. That sounds disgusting. And then you sit down and eat it, and the angels sing. But it's even more particular than that. It's the butter.
如果我小时候看到这张菜单,我会说,我不在这儿吃。 ”就像,我不知道——这挺精致的——根茎类、水果,还有洋葱,还有各种健康的东西。听起来很恶心。然后你坐下吃,天使在唱歌。但比那还更特别。是黄油。他们那里的打发黄油,世界上任何地方最好的黄油。
The whipped butter that they have there, the best butter anywhere in the world. - I think that has to be connected to the croissant mystery too. - There must be some connection. But literally- ... even in Paris, I've never had whipped butter that tastes as delicious as the butter does at Louisiana in Copenhagen. Literally, I would drive 30 minutes- ... to have bread and butter at the cafeteria in Louisiana. - Well, how'd you discover that?
我觉得这一定也跟可颂之谜有关。一定有某种联系。但真的——哪怕在巴黎,我也从没吃过像哥本哈根 Louisiana 的黄油那样好吃的打发黄油。真的,我会开三十分钟车,就为了在 Louisiana 的食堂吃面包和黄油。
Just one day you went to the museum and- - I think we just went to the museum- - And you tried a whole dish. - ... and we had the lunch, and we were like... - This is weird. - This is rivaling the best tasting restaurants- ... I've ever been to in my life, and I've gone to Noma a couple of times and tried what there is to try, and this is right up there. - All right. What about dinner, since you mentioned?
那你怎么发现的?就是有一天你去了博物馆然后——我想我们就是去了博物馆——。然后你试了一整道菜。 ——然后我们吃了午餐,然后我们就… …这很怪。这能媲美我这辈子去过的最好吃的餐厅,而我去过几次 Noma,该试的都试过了,而这个就在那个水平上。好。那晚餐呢,既然你提到了?
Is it something different that you have to think- - Well, I think there's a lot of good options in Copenhagen, but actually I'll pick a place in Spain. So there is this place in Marbella called Puente Romano. It's a hotel, and down by the beach, they have this beach restaurant with fresh seafood.
是不是得想点不同的——我想哥本哈根有很多好选择,但其实我会选西班牙的一个地方。马尔贝拉有个地方叫 Puente Romano。那是一家酒店,海边有这家海滩餐厅,新鲜海鲜。
Unbelievably delicious. I'm trying to remember what it's called, but yeah, if you look it up, the beach seafood place at Puente Romano is incredible. - How much of great food is, like, the place and the person you're with, right? Or the, or the experience when you first are there?
美味得难以置信。我想不起它叫什么了,但如果你去查,Puente Romano 的海滩海鲜餐厅非常棒。美食有多少是地方、以及你跟谁在一起,对吧?或者你第一次在那里的体验?
- I mean, the ambiance certainly helps, but I think my taste buds are also just- - Okay, that- - ... in tune for- - So it's legit. - ... flavors - ... it is just good food. - It's just really good food.
氛围。当然有帮助,但我觉得我的味蕾也只是——。好,那——对味道很准——所以是真的。 ——它就是好食物。就是真的很好吃。
Because for ex- that cafeteria, it is, there's a lot of people. Like, I wouldn't rate it as like, oh my God, this is just a place I want to sit for two hours. But the food is so delicious. - That's one of the things I'm, in traveling across the country, I'm realizing to sample without bias, just try things. 'Cause you might, I guess you might just be surprised. Maybe I'll find your croissant. All right, we've talked about mortality. Talked about food.
因为比如说那个食堂,人很多。我不会把它评成:哦天哪,这就是我想坐两个小时的地方。但食物太好吃了。这是我穿越这个国家时正在意识到的一件事:不带偏见地去尝。因为你可能会,我想你可能会感到惊喜。也许我会找到你的可颂。好,我们谈过死亡。谈过食物。
- Settled end of life. - What do you thousand years from now, what do you think is the future of humans, human civilization? You think we're gonna make it? - A thousand years from now? Man, I'm having trouble predicting 12 months from now. - I know. - A thousand? - You think we got a shot? - Oh, I'm gonna bet on optimism. I'm gonna bet on a multi-planetary species.
生命尽头这件事谈定了。一千年后,你觉得人类、人类文明的未来会是什么?你觉得我们能撑过去吗?一千年后?我预测十二个月后都有困难。我知道。一千年?你觉得我们有机会吗?哦,我会押乐观。我会押我们会成为多行星物种。
I'm gonna bet that Elon gets that rocket to Mars, and we figure out how to bend space-time and discover some wormholes or, or something. - Once we do, do you think,you think all humans on Earth will die once or twice and be repopulated After we get a good backup going? - I mean, that was actually one of my favorite episodes of Black Mirror, the one where they get uploaded to the 1980s sea town somewhere.
我会押 Elon 把那枚火箭送到火星,然后我们搞明白怎么弯曲时空、发现一些虫洞,或者别的什么。一旦我们做到了,你觉得,。等我们有了像样的备份之后,地球上所有人会死掉一次或两次,然后再被重新填上?那其实是我最喜欢的 Black Mirror 其中一集,他们被上传到八十年代某个海边小镇。
And I just thought like, wow, this is both such a dark moment, yet also so beautiful in the shared recognition that, like, the '80s were actually kind of amazing.
我就想,哇,这一刻既那么黑暗,又那么美,因为大家共同承认:八十年代其实挺了不起的。
Like, I don't have a lot of nostalgia for many moments, but I do have nostalgia for the '80s. - But- - And they say something about, like, whatever place and time you were in, the music you were listening to when you were 12 or- ... or 14, 15, something like that, that's what's gonna stick with you.
我对很多时刻没有多少怀旧,但我确实怀旧八十年代。但——而且他们说,无论你在什么地方、什么时候,你十二岁,或者十四、十五岁左右听的那些音乐,那就是会跟着你的东西。不,我在八十年代才到十岁。
Like, no, I was only, I got to be 10 in the '80s. So this was my early childhood, and I still have an unbelievably fond affiliation with the '80s. So if I'm gonna be uploaded to the sky- - You want it to be the '80s? - ... I'm doing the '80s.
所以那是我的童年早期,而我仍然对八十年代有一种难以置信的亲近。所以如果我要被上传到天上——你希望是八十年代? ——那我选八十年代。
- Wow. I don't think I've actually ever heard anyone say that. Usually it's '70s or '90s. - Oh, and the- - Because the '80s is a- - I really don't like the '90s. Can we talk about this? - No, I'm done. Not done. - To me, this was the great turning point of nihilism. That both the music, the genre, the fashion- ... everything turned from, like, this glamour, the pop, the optimism, even the yuppies and everything- ... to grunge and Nirvana.
哇。我其实从没听人这么说过。通常是七十年代或九十年代。哦,还有——因为八十年代是——。我真的不喜欢九十年代。我们能谈谈这个吗?不,我谈完了。不是谈完了。对我来说,那是虚无主义的大转折点。音乐、类型、时尚——一切都从那种光鲜、那种流行、那种乐观,甚至雅皮士和所有那些——转到 grunge 和 Nirvana。
And even though, I mean, I like the music, I don't like the ethics. I don't like- ... the morals. I don't like any of the underpinnings to it. There was just such a defeatism to it- ... that in retrospect, I look back upon it, if I'm gonna get reinserted into the matrix, it's gonna be the '80s. - That was full of optimism and fun- - Yes - ... and colors.
尽管我喜欢那些音乐,我不喜欢那种伦理。我不喜欢那种道德。我不喜欢它底下的任何东西。那里面就是有一种失败主义——回头看,如果我要被重新插入 matrix,那会是八十年代。那充满了乐观和乐趣——。是的——还有颜色。
- Yes. I remember having these orange pants- ... with, like, white dots on them. That was just a normal thing kids could wear in the '80s. I've never fucking seen that today. Or I mean, even in the '90s, it all turned just, like, Seattle gray. Great regression. - So the Nietzschean, you know, this idea of eternal recurrence.
是的。我记得有这些橙色裤子,上面有白点。那在八十年代就是小孩能穿的正常东西。我今天他妈的再也没见过。或者说,哪怕到了九十年代,一切都变成了那种西雅图灰。大倒退。所以那种 Nietzschean 的,你知道,永恒轮回这个想法。
If you do a Groundhog Day and you live forever, you want it to be in the orange pants with the white dots in the '80s. - Maybe I'm gonna skip the orange pants, but- - No - ... I'm definitely picking the '80s. - You said it. All right, DHH. Thank you so much for everything you do. Thank you for being an inspiration to all of us, for building cool shit in the world, and thank you for talking today. - Anytime. Thank you, Lex, again for having me. - Yeah.
如果你来一场 Groundhog Day,永远活下去,你会希望是穿着带白点的橙色裤子,活在八十年代。也许我会跳过那条橙色裤子,但——。不——我肯定选八十年代。你说了。好,DHH。非常感谢你做的一切。感谢你成为我们所有人的启发,在世界上做出很酷的东西,也感谢你今天来谈。随时。谢谢你,Lex,再次感谢你邀请我。
Thanks for listening to this conversation with DHH. To support this podcast, please check out our sponsors in the description, where you can also find links to contact me, ask questions, give feedback, and so on. And now, let me leave you with some words from Ralph Waldo Emerson. "Once you make a decision, the universe conspires to make it happen." Thank you for listening, and hope to see you next time.
好。感谢收听这次与 DHH 的对话。要支持这个播客,请查看简介里的赞助商,你也可以在那里找到联系我、提问、给反馈等等的链接。现在,让我用 Ralph Waldo Emerson 的几句话送你:“一旦你做出决定,宇宙就会合谋让它发生。 ”感谢收听,希望下次再见。